Match Info

Top 14 - Round 19

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Paris La Défense Arena (Nanterre)


	Racing Métro		Castres

	1	X	2
	1.3	26	3.6
	1.35	26	3.2
	1.37	25.14	3.41	Watch
	1.36	26	3.2
	1.34	34	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.29)	27.43 ↑ (21.6)	3.34 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Métro
68.9%

Draw
3.4%

Castres
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

4.4%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Métro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Racing Métro - Castres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gogichashvili G.	1. Walcker Q.
2. Escobar D.	2. Durand T.
3. Kharaishvili G.	3. Corato N.
4. Lainault T.	4. Ducat G.
5. Hill J.	5. Staniforth T.
6. Baudonne M.	6. Babillot M. (C)
7. Manyarara S.	7. Delaporte B.
8. Hughes N.	8. Papalii A.
9. Carbonneau L.	9. Arata S.
10. Gibert A.	10. Herve E.
11. Spring M. (C)	11. Karawalevu V.
12. Manu J.	12. Goodhue J.
13. Habosi V.	13. Botitu V.
14. Hulleu W.	14. Ambadiang C.
15. James S.	15. Chabouni T.
Substitutes
16. Masi E.	16. Colonna P.
17. Kolingar H.	17. Galisson L.
18. Tagitagivalu L.	18. Ardron T.
19. Diallo I.	19. Nakarawa L.
20. Seunes U.	20. Ramototabua V.
21. Tuisova J.	21. Fernandez J.
22. Naituvi W.	22. Palis G.
23. Tupou D.	23. Chilachava L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (31 - 14)
3', Ambadiang C. (Try),
3', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
7', Arata S. (Try),
8', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
11', Escobar D. (Try),
11', Gibert A. (Conversion Goal),
17', Spring M. (Try),
17', Gibert A. (Conversion Goal),
23', Botitu V. 🟨,
24', Gogichashvili G. (Try),
24', Gibert A. (Conversion Goal),
31', Hughes N. (Try),
31', Gibert A. (Conversion Goal),
39', Gibert A. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (21 - 7)
41', Naituvi W. (Try),
41', Gibert A. (Conversion Goal),
44', Delaporte B. (Try),
44', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
55', Hulleu W. (Try),
55', Gibert A. (Conversion Goal),
63', Tupou D. (Try),
63', Gibert A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing Métro won 2.

In this match, Racing Métro is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing Métro won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 452:391. (average 22.6:19.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing Métro won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 265:193. (average 26.5:19.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	Racing 92	5	2	0	3	128:167	10
12	Castres Olympique	5	2	0	3	100:118	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Métro 92
French Top 14
28.02.26	Montpellier - Racing Métro	41:17 ✺
14.02.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Racing Métro	36:41 ✺
31.01.26	Racing Métro - Perpignan	37:31 ✺
24.01.26	Racing Métro - Lyon	35:34 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
18.01.26	Racing Métro - Cheetahs	31:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWW
- Castres Olympique
French Top 14
28.02.26	Castres - La Rochelle	26:31 ✺
14.02.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Castres	57:32 ✺
31.01.26	Castres - Clermont	28:23 ✺
24.01.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Castres	10:13 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.26	Munster - Castres	29:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
04.10.25	Castres - Racing Métro	20:16
25.01.25	Racing Métro - Castres	20:27
07.09.24	Castres - Racing Métro	31:28
23.03.24	Castres - Racing Métro	21:23
06.01.24	Racing Métro - Castres	34:30
31.12.22	Castres - Racing Métro	26:26
03.09.22	Racing Métro - Castres	25:19

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