Match Info
Top 14 - Round 18Date: 28 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stade Pierre-Fabre (Castres)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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France | CANAL+ France |
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Castres |
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La Rochelle |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.22 |
26 |
4.33 |
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 |
1.27 |
25 |
3.8 |
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 |
1.28 |
23.45 |
4.14 |
Watch |
 |
1.25 |
23 |
4 |
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 |
1.3 |
20 |
3.99 |
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 |
1.3 |
18 |
3.6 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.27 ↓ (1.29) |
22.58 ↑ (21.6) |
3.98 ↓ (4.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castres 72.7% | Draw 4.1% | La Rochelle 23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)La Rochelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Castres - La Rochelle Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Castres will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:22 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Walcker Q.
| 1. Kaddouri A.
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2. Durand T.
| 2. Bourgarit P.
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3. Azar A.
| 3. Feao U.
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4. Ducat G.
| 4. Kante-Samba C.
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5. Staniforth T.
| 5. Boudehent P.
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6. Delaporte B.
| 6. Fraindt K.
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7. Cope B.
| 7. Botia L.
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8. Papalii A.
| 8. Alldritt G.
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9. Arata S.
| 9. Le Garrec N.
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10. Popelin P.
| 10. Hastoy A.
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11. Baget R.
| 11. Leyds D.
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12. Botitu V.
| 12. Seguret A.
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13. Karawalevu V.
| 13. Niniashvili D.
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14. Ambadiang C.
| 14. Nowell J.
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15. Chabouni T.
| 15. Pacome U.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Colonna P.
| 16. Sutidze N.
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17. Galisson L.
| 17. Sclavi J.
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18. Maravat G.
| 18. Huchet S.
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19. Tukino F.
| 19. Andjisseramatchi L.
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20. Babillot M.
| 20. Haddad M.
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21. Fernandez J.
| 21. Berjon T.
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22. Palis G.
| 22. West I.
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23. Chilachava L.
| 23. Kuntelia A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 14)
- 7', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
- 11', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
- 19', Nowell J. (Try),
- 19', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Delaporte B. 🟨,
- 39', Durand T. 🟨,
- 40+1', (Penalty Try),
- 2nd Half (20 - 17)
- 41', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
- 45', Lespiaucq-Brettes Q. (Try),
- 45', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
- 48', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
- 53', Le Garrec N. (Try),
- 53', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Durand T. (Try),
- 61', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', Popelin P. 🟨,
- 69', Le Garrec N. (Penalty Goal),
- 75', Fernandez J. (Try),
- 76', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 11)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castres won 4.Castres has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).La Rochelle has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). In this match, Castres is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castres won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 437:534. (average 21.9:26.7).Including home matches between the teams, Castres won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 264:197. (average 29.3:21.9).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 7 | Stade Rochelais | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 116:119 | 13 |
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| 12 | Castres Olympique | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 100:118 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 22.11.25 | La Rochelle - Castres | 17:19 | | 22.03.25 | La Rochelle - Castres | 12:12 | | 23.11.24 | Castres - La Rochelle | 28:24 | | 20.04.24 | Castres - La Rochelle | 25:24 | | 29.10.23 | La Rochelle - Castres | 24:27 | | 18.02.23 | Castres - La Rochelle | 17:32 | | 26.11.22 | La Rochelle - Castres | 53:7 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;