The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reds 58.5%
Draw 4.3%
Brumbies 37.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50%
4.5%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
4.4%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reds's performance.
Brumbies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brumbies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reds than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reds that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brumbies than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brumbies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Reds - Brumbies Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Reds will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Brumbies will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:25
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ross A.
1. Slipper J.
2. Faessler M.
2. Lonergan L.
3. Nonggorr Z.
3. Van Nek R.
4. Uru S.
4. Frost N.
5. Salakaia-Loto L.
5. Shaw L.
6. Brial J.
6. Valetini R.
7. Mcreight F. (C)
7. Scott R.
8. Wilson H.
8. MacPherson T.
9. Thomas K.
9. Lonergan R. (C)
10. McLaughlin-Phillips H.
10. Meredith D.
11. Ryan T.
11. Toole C.
12. Paisami H.
12. Feliuai D.
13. Flook J.
13. Pritchard K.
14. Daugunu F.
14. Muirhead A.
15. Campbell J.
15. Wright T.
Substitutes
16. Nasser J.
16. Bowron L.
17. Toomaga-Allen J.
17. Schoupp B.
18. Bloomfield N.
18. Breen D.
19. Muller H.
19. Neville C.
20. Latu V.
20. Reimer L.
21. Werchon L.
21. Thorn K.
22. Volavola B.
22. Edmed T.
23. Pritchard T.
23. Sapsford O.
Coaches
. Kiss L.
. Larkham S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (17 - 7)
4', Shaw L. (Try),
5', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
7', Salakaia-Loto L. (Try),
8', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
25', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Penalty Goal),
39', Flook J. (Try),
40', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (13 - 14)
41', Ross A. ↓, Toomaga-Allen J. ↑,
42', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Penalty Goal),
44', Valetini R. (Try),
45', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
48', Slipper J. ↓, Schoupp B. ↑,
48', Van Nek R. ↓, Breen D. ↑,
51', Scott R. ↓, Reimer L. ↑,
53', MacPherson T. ↓, Neville C. ↑,
54', Feliuai D. (Try),
55', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
58', Nonggorr Z. ↓, Bloomfield N. ↑,
58', Ryan T. ↓, Pritchard T. ↑,
58', Thomas K. ↓, Werchon L. ↑,
60', Uru S. (Try),
61', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
61', Faessler M. ↓, Nasser J. ↑,
61', Feliuai D. ↓, Sapsford O. ↑,
63', Lonergan L. ↓, Bowron L. ↑,
64', Reimer L. ↓, Scott R. ↑,
64', Meredith D. ↓, Edmed T. ↑,
66', McLaughlin-Phillips H. ↓, Volavola B. ↑,
67', Volavola B. (Penalty Goal),
76', Uru S. ↓, Muller H. ↑,
76', Wilson H. ↓, Latu V. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reds won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Reds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Reds might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Reds will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Reds won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 481:507. (average 24.1:25.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Reds won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 249:213. (average 24.9:21.3).
Africa
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
France
Mexico
Nigeria
Peru
South-africa
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Ross A. 
Brial J. 
Feliuai D. 
Volavola B. 
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