The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hurricanes 82%
Draw 2.9%
Reds 15.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
75.7%
3%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hurricanes's performance.
Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Hurricanes - Reds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:21
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Numia X.
1. Ross A.
2. Aumua A. (C)
2. Nasser J.
3. Lomax T.
3. Bloomfield N.
4. Delany C.
4. Uru S.
5. Dearns W.
5. Salakaia-Loto L.
6. Flanders D.
6. Brial J.
7. Kirifi D.
7. Mcreight F.
8. Lakai P.
8. Wilson H.
9. Roigard C.
9. Werchon L.
10. Love R.
10. McLaughlin-Phillips H.
11. Fineanganofo F.
11. Ryan T.
12. Barrett J.
12. Paisami H.
13. Proctor B.
13. Henry I.
14. Sullivan B.
14. Daugunu F.
15. Moorby J.
15. Campbell J.
Substitutes
16. Bason V.
16. Asiata R.
17. Lauaki S.
17. Blake G.
18. Tosi P.
18. Toomaga-Allen J.
19. Walker-Leawere I.
19. Muller H.
20. Iose B.
20. Latu V.
21. Enari E.
21. Thomas K.
22. Cashmore L.
22. Lynagh T.
23. Rova J.
23. Pritchard T.
Coaches
. Laidlaw C.
. Kiss L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (24 - 14)
4', Roigard C. (Try),
5', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
7', Campbell J. (Try),
8', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
15', Moorby J. (Try),
15', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
18', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
18', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
21', Mafile'o T. ↓, Tosi P. ↑,
28', Sullivan B. (Try),
29', Flanders D. ↓, Iose B. ↑,
29', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
33', Tosi P. ↓, Mafile'o T. ↑,
40', Henry I. (Try),
40', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (28 - 0)
41', Werchon L. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
41', Wilson H. ↓, Latu V. ↑,
44', Dearns W. (Try),
45', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
50', Mafile'o T. ↓, Tosi P. ↑,
50', Daugunu F. ↓, Pritchard T. ↑,
51', Nasser J. ↓, Asiata R. ↑,
51', Ross A. ↓, Blake G. ↑,
51', Dearns W. ↓, Walker-Leawere I. ↑,
52', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
52', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
55', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
56', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
57', Roigard C. ↓, Enari E. ↑,
57', Barrett J. ↓, Rova J. ↑,
59', Numia X. ↓, Lauaki S. ↑,
61', Aumua A. ↓, Bason V. ↑,
63', McLaughlin-Phillips H. ↓, Lynagh T. ↑,
69', Fineanganofo F. ↓, Cashmore L. ↑,
70', Uru S. ↓, Muller H. ↑,
74', Bason V. (Try),
74', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
79', Blake G. ↓, Ross A. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 5.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Reds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Hurricanes is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 372:225. (average 33.8:20.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Hurricanes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 213:133. (average 35.5:22.2).