Match Info
Super Rugby AUS - Round 1Date: 11 September 2026, FridayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Stan Sport |
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Reds |
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Western Force |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.62 |
23 |
2.3 |
|
 |
1.61 |
21 |
2.38 |
|
 |
1.59 |
15 |
2.43 |
|
 |
1.61 |
24 |
2.38 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.72) |
20.75 ↓
(22) |
2.37 ↑
(2.17) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 66.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Reds
57% | Draw
4.4% | Western Force
38.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Western Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Reds - Western Force Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:31 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (21 - 12)
- 7', Robinson T. (Try),
- 8', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', Hastie N. (Try),
- 31', Takai J. (Try),
- 32', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Ryan T. (Try),
- 34', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Try),
- 39', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (7 - 17)
- 43', Campbell J. (Try),
- 43', Volavola B. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Baker S. (Try),
- 63', Hastie N. (Try),
- 80', Alcock A. (Try),
- 80+1', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reds won 3. Reds is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Reds won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 619:449. (average 31:22.5).Including home matches between the teams, Reds won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 244:207. (average 27.1:23).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 16.05.26 | Western Force - Reds | 19:14 | | 04.04.26 | Reds - Western Force | 19:42 | | Super Rugby AUS | | | 28.09.25 | Western Force - Reds | 22:47 | | Super Rugby | | | 29.03.25 | Reds - Western Force | 28:24 | | 01.03.25 | Western Force - Reds | 24:28 | | 25.05.24 | Reds - Western Force | 59:13 | | 23.03.24 | Western Force - Reds | 40:31 |
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