The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blues 73.4%
Draw 3.1%
Reds 23.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68%
3.1%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.1%
3.1%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blues's performance.
Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blues than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blues that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reds than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Blues - Reds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:24
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ake B.
1. Ross A.
2. Slater B.
2. Faessler M.
3. Renata M.
3. Nonggorr Z.
4. Tuipulotu P. (C)
4. Uru S.
5. Darry S.
5. Salakaia-Loto L.
6. Segner A.
6. Brial J.
7. Papalii D.
7. Mcreight F. (C)
8. Sotutu H.
8. Wilson H.
9. Christie F.
9. Thomas K.
10. Barrett B.
10. McLaughlin-Phillips H.
11. Forbes C.
11. Ryan T.
12. Ahki P.
12. Paisami H.
13. Lam A.
13. Flook J.
14. Banks K.
14. Daugunu F.
15. Sullivan Z.
15. Campbell J.
Substitutes
16. Mullan J.
16. Nasser J.
17. Tupaea M.
17. Toomaga-Allen J.
18. Matenga S.
18. Bloomfield N.
19. Beehre J.
19. Muller H.
20. Barnes T.
20. Latu V.
21. Funaki T.
21. Werchon L.
22. Perofeta S.
22. Volavola B.
23. Taele X.
23. Pritchard T.
Coaches
. Cotter V.
. Kiss L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (21 - 21)
7', Sullivan Z. (Try),
8', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
9', Mcreight F. (Try),
10', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
15', Forbes C. (Try),
16', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
24', Sullivan Z. (Try),
25', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
32', Wilson H. (Try),
33', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
36', Campbell J. (Try),
37', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 12)
43', Papalii D. (Try),
44', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
49', Ake B. ↓, Tupaea M. ↑,
52', Faessler M. ↓, Nasser J. ↑,
52', Nonggorr Z. ↓, Bloomfield N. ↑,
61', Sotutu H. ↓, Barnes T. ↑,
61', Ross A. ↓, Toomaga-Allen J. ↑,
63', Daugunu F. ↓, Pritchard T. ↑,
63', Christie F. ↓, Funaki T. ↑,
63', Slater B. (Try),
64', Thomas K. ↓, Werchon L. ↑,
64', Ahki P. ↓, Taele X. ↑,
64', McLaughlin-Phillips H. ↓, Volavola B. ↑,
69', Tuipulotu P. ↓, Beehre J. ↑,
69', Renata M. ↓, Matenga S. ↑,
69', Slater B. ↓, Mullan J. ↑,
69', Funaki T. ↓, Perofeta S. ↑,
73', Uru S. ↓, Muller H. ↑,
73', Brial J. ↓, Latu V. ↑,
74', Ryan T. (Try),
76', Volavola B. (Missed Conversion),
80', Werchon L. (Try),
80', Volavola B. (Conversion Goal),
Extra Time (3 - 0)
84', (Penalty Goal),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blues won 4.
Blues is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Reds's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Reds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Blues is the team to beat.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Blues won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 372:270. (average 31:22.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Blues won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 170:85. (average 34:17).
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Ake B. 
Ross A. 
Ahki P. 
Toomaga-Allen J. 
Volavola B. 
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