Match Info

FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 23

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Section Paloise		Oyonnax Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.06	41	8.5
	1.05	34	10
	1.11	22	7.6
	1.07	34	7.5
	1.06	41	9
	1.1	35	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↑ (1.04)	34.5 ↑ (30.33)	8.2 ↓ (12.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Section Paloise
86%

Draw
2.7%

Oyonnax Rugby
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.6%

3.1%

7.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Oyonnax Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Section Paloise - Oyonnax Rugby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:18

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chauvac S.	1. Raynaud T.
2. Rey L.	2. Geledan B.
3. Tokolahi S.	3. Vaotoa C.
4. Ducat G.	4. Battye P.
5. Whitelock S.	5. Fabregue H.
6. Zegueur S.	6. Lebreton K.
7. Hewat R.	7. Grice R.
8. Gorgadze B.	8. Godener L.
9. Daubagna T.	9. Lobzhanidze V.
10. Simmonds J.	10. Miotti D.
11. Carol T.	11. Ikpefan D.
12. Decron N.	12. Millet T.
13. Gailleton E.	13. Farrell C.
14. Attissogbe T.	14. Stark G.
15. Maddocks J.	15. Sweetnam D.
Substitutes
16. Ruffenach R.	16. Leiataua M.
17. Parrou H.	17. Bordenave A.
18. Tagitagivalu L.	18. Lebas V.
19. Hamonou T.	19. Johnson E.
20. Robson D.	20. Ruru J.
21. Desperes A.	21. Bouraux J.
22. Roudil E.	22. Mensa L.
23. Papidze G.	23. Berthaud T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 10)
4', Gorgadze B. (Try),
5', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
7', Whitelock S. (Try),
22', Daubagna T. (Try),
22', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
30', Zegueur S. 🟨,
33', Mensa L. (Try),
33', Miotti D. (Conversion Goal),
40', Miotti D. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (20 - 7)
42', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
48', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
57', Maddocks J. (Try),
57', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
61', Gailleton E. (Try),
69', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
73', Geledan B. (Try),
73', Bouraux J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Section Paloise won 3.

Section Paloise is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Section Paloise is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Section Paloise won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 207-163.

Including matches at home between the teams Section Paloise won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 131-45.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Section Paloise
French Top 14
27.04.24	Lyon - Section Paloise	38:20 ✺
20.04.24	Section Paloise - Montpellier	31:23 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
07.04.24	Section Paloise - Connacht	30:40 ✺
French Top 14
30.03.24	Toulouse - Section Paloise	31:29 ✺
23.03.24	Clermont - Section Paloise	31:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Oyonnax Rugby
French Top 14
27.04.24	Oyonnax Rugby - Castres	22:19 ✺
20.04.24	Oyonnax Rugby - Racing Métro	13:43 ✺
30.03.24	La Rochelle - Oyonnax Rugby	40:21 ✺
23.03.24	Oyonnax Rugby - Perpignan	14:15 ✺
09.03.24	Clermont - Oyonnax Rugby	15:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
29.12.23	Oyonnax Rugby - Section Paloise	34:13
24.03.18	Section Paloise - Oyonnax Rugby	33:12
07.10.17	Oyonnax Rugby - Section Paloise	16:19
26.03.16	Section Paloise - Oyonnax Rugby	25:6
31.10.15	Oyonnax Rugby - Section Paloise	42:23
French Pro D2
05.05.13	Section Paloise - Oyonnax Rugby	73:27
15.12.12	Oyonnax Rugby - Section Paloise	26:21

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