Match Info

EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
France	beIN Sports


	Section Paloise		Connacht

	1	X	2
	1.95	19	1.95
	2	17	1.91
	1.96	15	1.99
	1.83	21	2
	1.91	18	2
	1.93	21	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.77)	18.5 ↑ (18.25)	1.96 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Section Paloise
47.9%

Draw
5%

Connacht
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Section Paloise - Connacht Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Section Paloise will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Connacht will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fisiihoi S.	1. Buckley D.
2. Delhommel Y.	2. Heffernan D.
3. Tokolahi S.	3. Bealham F.
4. Ducat G.	4. Joyce J.
5. Tagitagivalu L.	5. Murray N.
6. Puech M. (C)	6. Prenderghast C.
7. Hamonou T.	7. Hurley-Langton S.
8. Zegueur S.	8. Butler J.
9. Robson D.	9. Blade C.
10. Simmonds J.	10. Carty J. (C)
11. Tuimaba A.	11. Jennings S.
12. Vatubua J.	12. Aki B.
13. Roudil E.	13. Hawkshaw D.
14. Carol T.	14. Bolton S.
15. Maddocks J.	15. O'Halloran T.
Substitutes
16. Rey L.	16. De Buitlear E.
17. Parrou H.	17. Duggan J.
18. Papidze G.	18. Illo S.
19. Cummins S.	19. Murray D.
20. Metz F.	20. Oliver C.
21. Hewat R.	21. Devine M.
22. Daubagna T.	22. Hanrahan J.
23. Desperes A.	23. Farrell T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (20 - 12)
4', Heffernan D. (Try),
6', Carty J. (Conversion Goal),
9', Zegueur S. (Try),
9', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
14', Prenderghast C. (Try),
25', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
36', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
38', Zegueur S. (Try),
39', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 28)
44', Bolton S. (Try),
45', Carty J. (Conversion Goal),
46', Fisiihoi S. (Try),
47', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
51', Simmonds J. (Drop Goal),
54', Blade C. (Try),
55', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
62', Vatubua J. 🟨,
64', Aki B. (Try),
65', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
78', Prenderghast C. (Try),
80', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent matches Section Paloise is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Section Paloise
French Top 14
30.03.24	Toulouse - Section Paloise	31:29 ✺
23.03.24	Clermont - Section Paloise	31:28 ✺
09.03.24	Section Paloise - Aviron Bayonnais	42:40 ✺
02.03.24	Stade Français - Section Paloise	25:12 ✺
24.02.24	Section Paloise - Toulon	17:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW
- Connacht Rugby
United Rugby Championship
30.03.24	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	18:14 ✺
23.03.24	Connacht - Lions	14:38 ✺
02.03.24	Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets	26:10 ✺
17.02.24	Cardiff Rugby - Connacht	12:16 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
19.01.24	Connacht - Bristol Rugby	27:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWW

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