Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 5

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Kings Park Stadium (Durban)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Sharks		Llanelli Scarlets

	1	X	2
	1.04	51	10
	1.02	40	11
	1.06	32.23	9.74	Watch
	1.04	50	15
	1.04	51	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.06)	44.85 ↑ (32.23)	11.15 ↑ (9.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-23)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sharks
89.6%

Draw
2.1%

Llanelli Scarlets
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.6%

2.9%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Llanelli Scarlets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sharks - Llanelli Scarlets Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +17 - Scarlets (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Scarlets (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:14

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 14)
2nd Half (10 - 5)

Preview

Recent form of Sharks has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Scarlets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sharks is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sharks won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 101:82. (average 25.3:20.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sharks won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 49:23. (average 24.5:11.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sharks Rugby
United Rugby Championship
18.10.25	Sharks - Ulster	26:34 ✺
11.10.25	Leinster - Sharks	31:5 ✺
03.10.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Sharks	17:17 ✺
26.09.25	Glasgow Warriors - Sharks	35:19 ✺
Currie Cup
05.09.25	Sharks - Pumas	19:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTLW
- Llanelli Scarlets
United Rugby Championship
18.10.25	Lions - Llanelli Scarlets	29:18 ✺
10.10.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Stormers	0:34 ✺
27.09.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Munster	21:34 ✺
31.05.25	Leinster - Llanelli Scarlets	33:21 ✺
17.05.25	Sharks - Llanelli Scarlets	12:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
17.05.25	Sharks - Llanelli Scarlets	12:3
26.04.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Sharks	27:32
25.03.23	Llanelli Scarlets - Sharks	32:20
11.03.22	Sharks - Llanelli Scarlets	37:20

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