Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 3

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Parc y Scarlets (Llanelli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, URC


	Llanelli Scarlets		Stormers

	1	X	2
	3.25	23	1.36
	3.1	24	1.38
				Watch
	2.89	50	1.41
	3.1	23	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.5)	30 ↑ (21)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli Scarlets
30.1%

Draw
3.1%

Stormers
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

4.4%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli Scarlets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llanelli Scarlets's form might have worsened.

Stormers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stormers's recent form is better than expected.

Llanelli Scarlets - Stormers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:29

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 17)
2nd Half (0 - 17)

Preview

Scarlets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stormers is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Scarlets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 64:143. (average 16:35.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarlets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:55. (average 19:27.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli Scarlets
United Rugby Championship
27.09.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Munster	21:34 ✺
31.05.25	Leinster - Llanelli Scarlets	33:21 ✺
17.05.25	Sharks - Llanelli Scarlets	12:3 ✺
11.05.25	Lions - Llanelli Scarlets	19:32 ✺
26.04.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Leinster	35:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLLWW
- Stormers Rugby
United Rugby Championship
03.10.25	Stormers - Ospreys	26:10 ✺
26.09.25	Stormers - Leinster	35:0 ✺
30.05.25	Glasgow Warriors - Stormers	36:18 ✺
16.05.25	Stormers - Cardiff Rugby	34:24 ✺
10.05.25	Stormers - Newport Gwent Dragons	48:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
22.03.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Stormers	17:29
28.10.23	Stormers - Llanelli Scarlets	52:7
25.11.22	Stormers - Llanelli Scarlets	36:19
21.05.22	Llanelli Scarlets - Stormers	21:26

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