Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Stade Français		Connacht

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.87
	1.5	26	2.5
	1.4	26	3
	1.44	24	2.75
	1.36	21	3.2
	1.49	32	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)	25 ↑ (20)	2.85 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stade Français
64%

Draw
3.7%

Connacht
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

4.6%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

4.5%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Français has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stade Français's performance.

Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Français that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Connacht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	7.1%	35.7%

Stade Français - Connacht Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Stade Français will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Connacht will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stade Français: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:25

#ad

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Stade Français is a favorite.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stade Français won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-36.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Français
European Rugby Champions Cup
15.01.22	Bristol Rugby - Stade Français	28:17 ✺
French Top 14
08.01.22	Castres - Stade Français	15:9 ✺
01.01.22	Stade Français - Perpignan	27:17 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
12.12.21	Connacht - Stade Français	36:9 ✺
French Top 14
05.12.21	Stade Français - La Rochelle	25:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW
- Connacht Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
15.01.22	Connacht - Leicester Tigers	28:29 ✺
United Rugby Championship
01.01.22	Connacht - Munster	10:8 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
19.12.21	Leicester Tigers - Connacht	29:23 ✺
12.12.21	Connacht - Stade Français	36:9 ✺
United Rugby Championship
03.12.21	Leinster - Connacht	47:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
12.12.21	Connacht - Stade Français	36:9

Upcoming Matches