Match Info

EUROPE: CHALLENGE CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 9 December 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Stade Français		Benetton Treviso

	1	X	2
	1.73	21	2.2
	1.6	23	2.25
	1.62	23	2.35
	1.61	22	2.41
	1.53	19	2.6
	1.69	26	2.22	Watch
	1.67	22	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.34)	22.29 ↓ (23.5)	2.33 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Français
56.3%

Draw
4.1%

Benetton Treviso
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.1%

3.9%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Français's form might have worsened.

Benetton Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benetton Treviso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Français, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benetton Treviso than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benetton Treviso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Stade Français - Benetton Treviso Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Stade Français will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Benetton will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benetton: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23

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Preview

Recent matches Stade Français is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Benetton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stade Français will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Stade Français to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Stade Français won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 110-75.

Including matches at home between the teams Stade Français won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 60-58.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Français
French Top 14
03.12.22	Stade Français - La Rochelle	27:14 ✺
26.11.22	Stade Français - Toulon	12:17 ✺
05.11.22	Toulouse - Stade Français	16:16 ✺
29.10.22	Montpellier - Stade Français	23:19 ✺
22.10.22	Stade Français - Brive	27:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTLW
- Benetton Treviso rugby
United Rugby Championship
03.12.22	Connacht - Benetton Treviso	38:19 ✺
26.11.22	Benetton Treviso - Edinburgh	24:17 ✺
28.10.22	Glasgow Warriors - Benetton Treviso	37:0 ✺
21.10.22	Benetton Treviso - Blue Bulls	22:44 ✺
15.10.22	Edinburgh - Benetton Treviso	53:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
11.12.20	Stade Français - Benetton Treviso	20:44
European Rugby Champions Cup
19.12.15	Stade Français - Benetton Treviso	40:14
12.12.15	Benetton Treviso - Stade Français	17:50

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Français
French Top 14
31.10.26	Stade Français - La Rochelle	✺
- Benetton Treviso rugby
United Rugby Championship
31.10.26	Benetton Treviso - Edinburgh	✺

Stade Français - Benetton Treviso