Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 1

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Dexcom Stadium (Galway)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Connacht		Benetton Treviso

	1	X	2
	1.5	21	2.63
	1.51	22	2.6
	1.20	23.14	4.87	Watch
	1.45	50	2.76
	1.36	23	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.32)	27.83 ↑ (21.33)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connacht
67.2%

Draw
3.4%

Benetton Treviso
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

4.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Benetton Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Connacht - Benetton Treviso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 3)
2nd Half (14 - 12)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 2.

In this match, Connacht is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 546:361. (average 27.3:18.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 348:120. (average 38.7:13.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connacht Rugby
United Rugby Championship
17.05.25	Zebre - Connacht	12:22 ✺
10.05.25	Connacht - Edinburgh	21:31 ✺
26.04.25	Lions - Connacht	26:7 ✺
19.04.25	Stormers - Connacht	34:29 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
12.04.25	Connacht - Racing Métro	40:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- Benetton Treviso rugby
United Rugby Championship
16.05.25	Munster - Benetton Treviso	30:21 ✺
10.05.25	Benetton Treviso - Glasgow Warriors	33:7 ✺
26.04.25	Stormers - Benetton Treviso	56:5 ✺
19.04.25	Lions - Benetton Treviso	31:42 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
05.04.25	Castres - Benetton Treviso	39:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
01.03.25	Connacht - Benetton Treviso	38:30
Challenge Cup Rugby
14.04.24	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	39:24
United Rugby Championship
30.03.24	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	18:14
Challenge Cup Rugby
01.04.23	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	41:19
United Rugby Championship
03.12.22	Connacht - Benetton Treviso	38:19
02.04.22	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	17:21
Pro14 Rainbow Cup
29.05.21	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	20:12

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