Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: Heartland Championships - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Thames Valley		Horowhenua-Kapiti

	1	X	2
	1.05	28	10.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 (1.05)	28 ↓ (60)	10.5 ↑ (8.25)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thames Valley
87.9%

Draw
3.3%

Horowhenua-Kapiti
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.4%

1.5%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thames Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Horowhenua-Kapiti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 21)
2nd Half (21 - 20)

Preview

Thames Valley is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Horowhenua-Kapiti is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Thames Valley is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Thames Valley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 97:85 (average 24.3:21.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Thames Valley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 59:61 (average 29.5:30.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thames Valley Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
27.09.24	Poverty Bay - Thames Valley	17:71
20.09.24	Thames Valley - Buller	84:14
13.09.24	East Coast - Thames Valley	45:60 ✺
06.09.24	Thames Valley - Whanganui	14:16 ✺
31.08.24	King Country - Thames Valley	18:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWWLW
- Horowhenua-Kapiti Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
27.09.24	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Whanganui	28:72 ✺
22.09.24	Horowhenua-Kapiti - South Canterbury	24:28
13.09.24	Wairarapa Bush - Horowhenua-Kapiti	45:62 ✺
06.09.24	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Mid Canterbury	19:39 ✺
30.08.24	West Coast - Horowhenua-Kapiti	26:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
22.10.21	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Thames Valley	11:28
05.10.18	Thames Valley - Horowhenua-Kapiti	29:27
08.09.17	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Thames Valley	13:10
26.08.16	Thames Valley - Horowhenua-Kapiti	30:34

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