Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 4

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Horowhenua-Kapiti		Whanganui

	1	X	2
	10.75	26	1.04
	10.7	26	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.73 ↑ (8.9)	26 ↑ (25)	1.04 ↓ (1.06)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Horowhenua-Kapiti
8.5%

Draw
3.5%

Whanganui
88%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.3%

3.7%

86.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horowhenua-Kapiti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Whanganui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 10)
2nd Half (12 - 7)

Preview

In this match, Whanganui is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Horowhenua-Kapiti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 89:117. (average 29.7:39).

Including home match between the teams, Horowhenua-Kapiti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:72.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Horowhenua	8	5	0	3	310:251	28
7	Whanganui	8	5	0	3	316:196	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horowhenua-Kapiti Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
28.08.26	Wairarapa Bush - Horowhenua-Kapiti	46:31 ✺
21.08.26	Poverty Bay - Horowhenua-Kapiti	12:29 ✺
14.08.26	Horowhenua-Kapiti - King Country	41:45 ✺
18.10.25	North Otago - Horowhenua-Kapiti	64:47 ✺
10.10.25	Whanganui - Horowhenua-Kapiti	18:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLLW
- Whanganui Rugby
Heartland Championships
28.08.26	Whanganui - Poverty Bay	43:15
21.08.26	Whanganui - East Coast	59:10
14.08.26	West Coast - Whanganui	21:62 ✺
10.10.25	Whanganui - Horowhenua-Kapiti	18:40 ✺
03.10.25	Whanganui - Thames Valley	5:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
10.10.25	Whanganui - Horowhenua-Kapiti	18:40
19.09.25	Whanganui - Horowhenua-Kapiti	27:21
27.09.24	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Whanganui	28:72

Horowhenua-Kapiti - Whanganui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide