Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 2

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	King Country		Thames Valley

	1	X	2
	2.75	27	1.45
	2.79	27	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.78)	27 ↓ (28)	1.45 (1.45)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

King Country
33.2%

Draw
3.4%

Thames Valley
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

3.3%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for King Country have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Thames Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

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Preview

Thames Valley could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, King Country won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 133:143. (average 26.6:28.6).

Including home matches between the teams, King Country won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 54:68. (average 27:34).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	King Country	8	6	0	2	363:215	32
4	Thames Valley	8	5	0	3	384:314	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- King Country Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
14.08.26	Horowhenua-Kapiti - King Country	41:45 ✺
03.10.25	East Coast - King Country	14:73
26.09.25	King Country - Whanganui	24:29 ✺
19.09.25	Mid Canterbury - King Country	32:17 ✺
13.09.25	King Country - Wairarapa Bush	24:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLL
- Thames Valley Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
14.08.26	Thames Valley - Buller	89:26
17.10.25	Mid Canterbury - Thames Valley	21:18 ✺
10.10.25	South Canterbury - Thames Valley	31:61 ✺
03.10.25	Whanganui - Thames Valley	5:38 ✺
26.09.25	Thames Valley - West Coast	45:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
29.08.25	Thames Valley - King Country	24:20
31.08.24	King Country - Thames Valley	18:23
14.09.18	Thames Valley - King Country	29:37
22.09.17	King Country - Thames Valley	36:45
09.09.16	Thames Valley - King Country	22:22

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