Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 3

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Wairarapa Bush		Horowhenua-Kapiti

	1	X	2
	1.58	26	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)	26 ↑ (24)	2.42 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wairarapa Bush
58.4%

Draw
3.5%

Horowhenua-Kapiti
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

3.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wairarapa Bush has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Horowhenua-Kapiti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wairarapa Bush won 1.

Wairarapa Bush could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wairarapa Bush won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 193:264. (average 24.1:33).

Including home matches between the teams, Wairarapa Bush won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 82:120. (average 27.3:40).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Horowhenua	8	5	0	3	310:251	28
8	Wairarapa	8	5	0	3	277:250	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wairarapa Bush Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
21.08.26	Mid Canterbury - Wairarapa Bush	29:19 ✺
14.08.26	Poverty Bay - Wairarapa Bush	17:20 ✺
10.10.25	Mid Canterbury - Wairarapa Bush	21:19 ✺
03.10.25	Wairarapa Bush - Poverty Bay	29:24 ✺
26.09.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Wairarapa Bush	22:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL
- Horowhenua-Kapiti Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
21.08.26	Poverty Bay - Horowhenua-Kapiti	12:29 ✺
14.08.26	Horowhenua-Kapiti - King Country	41:45 ✺
18.10.25	North Otago - Horowhenua-Kapiti	64:47 ✺
10.10.25	Whanganui - Horowhenua-Kapiti	18:40 ✺
03.10.25	South Canterbury - Horowhenua-Kapiti	31:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
26.09.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Wairarapa Bush	22:21
13.09.24	Wairarapa Bush - Horowhenua-Kapiti	45:62
29.10.21	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Wairarapa Bush	37:14
04.10.19	Wairarapa Bush - Horowhenua-Kapiti	25:20
27.10.18	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Wairarapa Bush	26:23
21.09.18	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Wairarapa Bush	37:21
30.09.17	Wairarapa Bush - Horowhenua-Kapiti	12:38

Upcoming Matches