Match Info

EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 2

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Mayol (Toulon) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	12:15	Disney+
Brazil	12:15	Disney+
Chile	12:15	Disney+
Colombia	10:15	Disney+
Denmark	16:15	Viaplay
Finland	17:15	Viaplay
France	16:15	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	15:15	Viaplay
Mexico	09:15	Disney+
Netherlands	16:15	Viaplay
Norway	16:15	Viaplay
Peru	10:15	Disney+
Poland	16:15	Polsat Sport Fight
Sweden	16:15	Viaplay
United Kingdom	15:15	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	12:15	Disney+
Venezuela	11:15	Disney+


	Toulon		Glasgow Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.36	23	3.2
	1.33	23	3.25
	1.35	23	3.35
	1.35	24.29	3.49	Watch
	1.36	23	3.2
	1.34	21	3.6
	1.35	23	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.48)	22.9 ↑ (19.79)	3.35 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
68.4%

Draw
4%

Glasgow Warriors
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.6%

4.7%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toulon's performance.

Glasgow Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glasgow Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Toulon - Glasgow Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Glasgow Warriors will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Priso D.	1. Bhatti J.
2. Baubigny T.	2. Hiddleston G.
3. Sinckler K.	3. Talakai S.
4. Ribbans D.	4. Oguntibeju O.
5. Alainu'uese B.	5. Samuel A.
6. Ludlam L.	6. Venter H.
7. Ollivon C. (C)	7. Darge R.
8. Isa F.	8. Mann J.
9. Serin B.	9. Afshar B.
10. Garbisi P.	10. Weir D.
11. Villiere G.	11. Rowe K.
12. Sinzelle J.	12. McDowell S.
13. Faingaanuku L.	13. Tuipulotu S. (C)
14. Wainiqolo J.	14. Dobie J.
15. Domon M.	15. Mckay J.
Substitutes
16. Lucchesi G.	16. Matthews J.
17. Brennan D.	17. Sutherland R.
18. Gigashvili B.	18. Fagerson Z.
19. Halagahu M.	19. Cummings S.
20. Tolofua S.	20. Fagerson M.
21. Danglot J.	21. Fraser A.
22. Herve E.	22. Horne G.
23. Tuicuvu S.	23. Jordan T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (13 - 12)
6', Faingaanuku L. (Try),
7', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
25', Serin B. 🟨,
26', (Penalty Try),
26', Ludlam L. 🟨,
30', Domon M. (Penalty Goal),
34', Domon M. (Penalty Goal),
36', Mckay J. (Try),
40+1', Talakai S. 🟨,
2nd Half (17 - 17)
44', Faingaanuku L. (Try),
45', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
48', Weir D. (Penalty Goal),
50', Alainu'uese B. (Try),
51', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
55', Oguntibeju O. (Try),
56', Weir D. (Conversion Goal),
75', Serin B. (Penalty Goal),
77', Domon M. 🟨,
80', Matthews J. (Try),
80+1', Horne G. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Toulon is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Toulon is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Toulon to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Toulon won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 114:84 (average 28.5:21).

Including matches at home between the teams Toulon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 51:28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Toulonnais
European Rugby Champions Cup
07.12.24	Stormers - Toulon	14:24 ✺
French Top 14
30.11.24	Perpignan - Toulon	13:22 ✺
23.11.24	Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais	39:19 ✺
02.11.24	Toulon - Lyon	21:10 ✺
27.10.24	Toulouse - Toulon	57:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWL
- Glasgow Warriors
European Rugby Champions Cup
07.12.24	Glasgow Warriors - Sale Sharks	38:19 ✺
United Rugby Championship
29.11.24	Glasgow Warriors - Llanelli Scarlets	17:15 ✺
26.10.24	Stormers - Glasgow Warriors	17:28 ✺
19.10.24	Sharks - Glasgow Warriors	28:24 ✺
11.10.24	Glasgow Warriors - Zebre	33:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
19.01.24	Glasgow Warriors - Toulon	29:5
Challenge Cup Rugby
19.05.23	Glasgow Warriors - Toulon	19:43
Heineken Cup
18.01.14	Glasgow Warriors - Toulon	8:15
13.10.13	Toulon - Glasgow Warriors	51:28

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