Match Info

Top 14 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday

Location: Orange Velodrome (Marseille)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Asia	TV5 Monde Asia
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
France	CANAL+ France
Portugal	Sport TV3
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	TV5 Monde


	Toulouse		Racing Métro

	1	X	2
	1.2	26	4.75
	1.22	29	4.2
	1.23	25.81	4.76	Watch
	1.18	26	5
	1.18	23	4.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.25)	25.96 ↑ (23.88)	4.67 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
76.7%

Draw
3.6%

Racing Métro
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.9%

3.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Racing Métro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Toulouse - Racing Métro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neti R.	1. Gogichashvili G.
2. Mauvaka P.	2. Tarrit J.
3. Merkler J.	3. Bamba D.
4. Brennan J.	4. Hill J.
5. Meafou E.	5. Taofifenua R. (C)
6. Cros F.	6. Baudonne M.
7. Willis J. (C)	7. Manyarara S.
8. Roumat A.	8. Hughes N.
9. Dupont A.	9. Carbonneau L.
10. Ntamack R.	10. Gibert A.
11. Lebel M.	11. Spring M.
12. Chocobares S.	12. Tuisova J.
13. Barassi P.	13. Fickou G.
14. Thomas T.	14. Manu J.
15. Kinghorn B.	15. James S.
Substitutes
16. Marchand J.	16. Escobar D.
17. Ainuu D.	17. Jabea Njocke E.
18. Verge C.	18. Tagitagivalu L.
19. Flament T.	19. Lainault T.
20. Graou P.	20. Joseph J.
21. Gourgues K.	21. Seunes U.
22. Capuozzo A.	22. Ravutaumada S.
23. Aldegheri D.	23. Tupou D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (38 - 3)
2', Gibert A. (Penalty Goal),
6', Thomas T. (Try),
6', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
11', Cros F. (Try),
11', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
19', Meafou E. (Try),
19', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
22', Ntamack R. (Penalty Goal),
26', Baudonne M. 🟨,
29', Willis J. (Try),
30', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
34', Tuisova J. 🟨,
36', Dupont A. (Try),
36', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (33 - 14)
42', Gourgues K. (Try),
42', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
45', Lebel M. (Try),
45', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
54', Marchand J. (Try),
54', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
65', Ravutaumada S. 🟨,
68', Mauvaka P. (Try),
68', Kinghorn B. (Conversion Goal),
70', Joseph J. (Try),
70', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
73', Capuozzo A. (Try),
76', Spring M. (Try),
77', (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Neutral location - Orange Velodrome.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3.

Recent performances by Toulouse have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Racing Métro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Racing Métro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Toulouse is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 603:435. (average 30.2:21.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 365:201. (average 33.2:18.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Stade Toulousain	5	4	0	1	152:90	19
9	Racing 92	5	2	0	3	128:167	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Toulousain
French Top 14
06.06.26	Racing Métro - Toulouse	31:20 ✺
30.05.26	Toulouse - Lyon	39:31 ✺
17.05.26	La Rochelle - Toulouse	38:10 ✺
09.05.26	Toulon - Toulouse	27:51 ✺
26.04.26	Toulouse - Clermont	24:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Racing Métro 92
French Top 14
13.06.26	Section Paloise - Racing Métro	31:33 ✺
06.06.26	Racing Métro - Toulouse	31:20 ✺
31.05.26	Clermont - Racing Métro	13:41 ✺
16.05.26	Racing Métro - Toulon	43:28 ✺
10.05.26	Racing Métro - La Rochelle	24:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
06.06.26	Racing Métro - Toulouse	31:20
29.11.25	Toulouse - Racing Métro	48:24
17.05.25	Toulouse - Racing Métro	35:37
30.11.24	Racing Métro - Toulouse	17:21
27.04.24	Toulouse - Racing Métro	32:12
European Rugby Champions Cup
07.04.24	Toulouse - Racing Métro	31:7
French Top 14
28.01.24	Racing Métro - Toulouse	20:27

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