Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: Heartland Championships - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Wairarapa Bush		West Coast

	1	X	2
	2.04	21	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 (2.04)	21 (21)	1.8 (1.8)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wairarapa Bush
44.8%

Draw
4.4%

West Coast
50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

4.7%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Wairarapa Bush have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for West Coast have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wairarapa Bush than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Coast than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 24)
2nd Half (33 - 7)

Preview

Wairarapa Bush is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches West Coast is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Wairarapa Bush won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 68-59.

Including matches at home between the teams Wairarapa Bush won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 45-54.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wairarapa Bush Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
20.09.24	Whanganui - Wairarapa Bush	56:17
13.09.24	Wairarapa Bush - Horowhenua-Kapiti	45:62 ✺
06.09.24	Poverty Bay - Wairarapa Bush	24:39 ✺
30.08.24	Wairarapa Bush - North Otago	19:69 ✺
23.08.24	South Canterbury - Wairarapa Bush	69:32
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLL
- West Coast Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
20.09.24	West Coast - East Coast	37:19 ✺
13.09.24	King Country - West Coast	43:17 ✺
06.09.24	Buller - West Coast	17:20 ✺
30.08.24	West Coast - Horowhenua-Kapiti	26:27 ✺
23.08.24	Mid Canterbury - West Coast	49:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
15.10.21	Wairarapa Bush - West Coast	19:18
05.10.18	West Coast - Wairarapa Bush	5:23
14.10.17	Wairarapa Bush - West Coast	26:36

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