Match Info
WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 17Date: 17 May 2024, FridayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Italy | Sky Sport Arena |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Zebre |
|
Llanelli Scarlets |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
19 |
1.83 |
|
 |
2.1 |
21 |
1.73 |
|
 |
2.12 |
15 |
1.84 |
|
 |
2.05 |
21 |
1.8 |
|
 |
2.1 |
21 |
1.83 |
|
 |
2.05 |
23 |
1.79 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.32) |
20 ↓
(20.4) |
1.8 ↑
(1.66) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Zebre
44.3% | Draw
4.6% | Llanelli Scarlets
51.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zebre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Llanelli Scarlets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zebre than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zebre that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli Scarlets than the current prediction. (+20.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llanelli Scarlets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Zebre - Llanelli Scarlets Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:27 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Fischetti D.
| 1.  Mathias K.
|
2. Ribaldi G.
| 2. Elias R.
|
3. Hasa M.
| 3. O'Connor H.
|
4. Krumov L.
| 4.  Craig A.
|
5. Zambonin A.
| 5.  Jones M.
|
6. Ferrari G.
| 6. Plumtree T.
|
7. Ruggeri D.
| 7. Davis D.
|
8. Licata G.
| 8. Tuipulotu C.
|
9.  Garcia G.
| 9. Davies G.
|
10. Montemauri G.
| 10. Lloyd I.
|
11. Pani L.
| 11. Conbeer R.
|
12. Lucchin E.
| 12. James E.
|
13. Morisi L.
| 13. Williams J.
|
14. Trulla J.
| 14. Lewis T.
|
15. Prisciantelli G.
| 15. Nicholas I.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Di Bartolomeo T.
| 16. Evans S.
|
17. Sanavia A.
| 17. Jones W.
|
18. Pitinari J.
| 18. Wainwright S.
|
19. Sisi D.
| 19. Williams B.
|
20. Canali M.
| 20.  Taylor J.
|
21. Dominguez T.
| 21. Hardy K.
|
22.  Paea
| 22. Costelow S.
|
23. Stavile B.
| 23. Page M.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (13 - 19)
- 4', Licata G. (Try),
- 5', Montemauri G. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Elias R. (Try),
- 21', Davies G. (Try),
- 22', Lloyd I. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', Montemauri G. (Penalty Goal),
- 29', Montemauri G. (Penalty Goal),
- 32', Davies G. (Try),
- 33', Lloyd I. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (5 - 13)
- 42', Lewis T. (Try),
- 43', Lloyd I. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Hasa M. (Try),
- 68', Costelow S. (Penalty Goal),
- 72', Costelow S. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Zebre won 0. One and the other team has got a line of lost games. Recently Zebre have a series of guest games. Recently Scarlets have a series of home games. In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Zebre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 222-490. Including matches at home between the teams Zebre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 118-201.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| United Rugby Championship | | | 15.10.22 | Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre | 36:12 | | 26.03.22 | Zebre - Llanelli Scarlets | 24:41 | | 08.11.20 | Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre | 18:17 | | 12.10.19 | Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre | 54:10 | | 13.04.19 | Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre | 42:0 | | 09.09.17 | Zebre - Llanelli Scarlets | 10:41 | | 17.02.17 | Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre | 42:7 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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