Match Info
Serie D - Round 13Date: 19 July 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Distrital do Jardim Inamar (Sao Paulo)
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 |
|
 |
|
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Água Santa |
|
Nova Iguaçu |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.85 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
|
 |
2.25 |
2.92 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.33 |
2.97 |
3.11 |
|
 |
2.20 |
3.04 |
3.37 |
 Watch |
 |
2.17 |
3.04 |
3.25 |
|
 |
1.83 |
3.31 |
3.7 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.83) |
3.08 ↓
(3.35) |
3.37 ↓
(3.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
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Água Santa
43.3% | Draw
29.6% | Nova Iguaçu
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Água Santa's form might have worsened.Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Água Santa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-3.9%)Água Santa - Nova Iguaçu Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Joao Guilherme ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 2 - 0, Felipinho (Pen),
- 86', 2 - 1, Vini Charopem ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. In this match, Água Santa is considered a favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Água Santa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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