The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Águila 42.7%
Draw 28.9%
Isidro Metapán 28.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.2%
28.8%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
29.5%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Isidro Metapán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Águila - Isidro Metapán Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90', 2 - 0, Cea B. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 0, Cruz E. ⚽,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 3rd in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águila won 2.
Águila is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Isidro Metapán is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Isidro Metapán could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Águila is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Águila has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:24 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Águila against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:12 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Metapan
17
9
3
5
23:18
5
30
4
Aguila
17
7
6
4
30:21
9
27
Last Results with these Odds
Águila - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.22%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Isidro Metapán - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.94%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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