Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO
Mexico	FOX Sports


	Águila		Cacahuatique

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.80	5.00
	1.54	3.65	5.10
	1.54	4.00	6.04
	1.55	3.94	5.7	Watch
	1.52	3.80	5.75
	1.61	3.88	5.25
	1.51	3.75	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	3.83 ↑ (3.55)	5.46 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águila
59.4%

Draw
23.9%

Cacahuatique
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.1%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

22.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Cacahuatique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águila than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Águila - Cacahuatique Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Garay C. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Villatoro R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 3 - 0, Benitez T. A. ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, Padilla R. ⚽,
84', Umeres E. 🟥,
90+2', 4 - 1, Ayala S. ⚽,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águila won 1.

Águila has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cacahuatique has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cacahuatique could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Águila carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Águila has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:10 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Águila against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:7 goals (averaging 2:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aguila	14	5	5	4	22:18	4	20
11	Cacahuatique	14	2	5	7	14:24	-10	11

Last Results with these Odds

Águila - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 55.45%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
30.09.26	Águila - Inter Santa Tecla	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Águila	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Águila	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Águila - INCA-Aruba	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Municipal Limeño - Águila	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWT
- CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Primera Division
29.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Cacahuatique	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Isidro Metapán - Cacahuatique	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Cacahuatique	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Cacahuatique - CD FAS	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Cacahuatique - Inter Santa Tecla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
02.08.26	Cacahuatique - Águila	2:2
26.04.26	Cacahuatique - Águila	0:0
01.03.26	Águila - Cacahuatique	1:1
09.11.25	Cacahuatique - Águila	1:2
07.09.25	Águila - Cacahuatique	0:3
15.03.25	Águila - Cacahuatique	4:2
19.01.25	Cacahuatique - Águila	0:0

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