The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Åland United 32.9%
Draw 24.5%
HJK 42.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.2%
25.8%
44%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
25.2%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Åland United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Åland United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Åland United - HJK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sundelius C. (G) 11. Antikainen N. 3. Degerstedt E. 8. Hagstrom M. 44. Hillberg S. 21. Hordijk C. 6. Jaatinen S. 19. Pitko N. 16. Takanen M. 15. Veber V. 10. Vetter J.
12. Laihanen A. (G) 30. Bethea L. 15. Forsten A. 34. Hillberg L. 17. Holmstrom I. 71. Kamogawa M. 13. Lassas M. 4. Sarelius U. 8. Suomela R. 44. Tivnan J. 18. Ylatalo I.
Substitutes
1. Niiranen L. (G) 22. Nordberg O. 5. Nurmi A. 17. Nyvall C. 12. Pietila V. (G) 2. Ratts A. 9. Sarjanoja I. 14. Torronen A. 36. Wade J.
24. Eranka S. 5. Gronlund J. 11. Heroum N. 2. Karvonen N. 27. Kiviranta M. 3. Lahikainen A. 26. Leppamaki R. (G) 16. Sarkki J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Takanen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Vetter J. ⚽,
59', Tivnan J. ↓, Gronlund J. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Veber V. ⚽,
69', Forsten A. ↓, Sarkki J. ↑,
69', Bethea L. ↓, Eranka S. ↑,
70', Veber V. ↓, Wade J. ↑,
70', Takanen M. ↓, Sarjanoja I. ↑,
76', Suomela R. ↓, Lahikainen A. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Sarjanoja I. ⚽,
84', Vetter J. ↓, Nordberg O. ↑,
85', Jaatinen S. ↓, Nurmi A. ↑,
90', Pitko N. ↓, Nyvall C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Åland United won 0.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
HJK is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Åland United has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:52 (averaging 1.3:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Åland United against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 13:18 goals (averaging 1.3:1.8 per game).