The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HJK 83.9%
Draw 10%
Gnistan 6.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
82.5%
11.1%
6.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
HJK - Gnistan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Laihanen A. (G) 30. Bethea L. 24. Eranka S. 34. Hillberg L. 17. Holmstrom I. 71. Kamogawa M. 2. Karvonen N. 13. Lassas M. (C) 16. Sarkki J. 44. Tivnan J. 18. Ylatalo I.
1. Virtanen Espejo I. (G) 77. Byrne K. 20. Gurung D. 8. Kemppainen S. 5. Koota V. 12. Kraemer A. 4. Laine I. 19. Laurinkoski H. 18. Martikainen O. (C) 27. Raisanen L. 14. Tiainen D.
Substitutes
25. Forsstrom S. (G) 5. Gronlund J. 27. Kiviranta M. 3. Lahikainen A. 7. Rantanen A. 4. Sarelius U. 8. Suomela R. 10. Topra J.
23. Ferm S. (G) 3. Heikkila S. 26. Karkkainen S. 22. Kattelus A. 10. Leppioja J. 16. Lindroth A. 21. Noguera I. 9. Tarkiainen P. 24. Tuomainen H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Kamogawa M. ⚽, Ylatalo I. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Gurung D. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Kamogawa M. ⚽, Ylatalo I. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Laurinkoski H. ↓, Leppioja J. ↑,
46', Byrne K. ↓, Lindroth A. ↑,
53', 3 - 1, Kamogawa M. ⚽,
56', 4 - 1, Holmstrom I. ⚽,
60', 5 - 1, Ylatalo I. ⚽, Holmstrom I. (A),
60', Kemppainen S. ↓, Karkkainen S. ↑,
64', Tivnan J. ↓, Gronlund J. ↑,
64', Sarkki J. ↓, Kiviranta M. ↑,
66', Bethea L. ↓, Topra J. ↑,
66', Ylatalo I. ↓, Rantanen A. ↑,
68', Gurung D. ↓, Noguera I. ↑,
76', 6 - 1, Kamogawa M. ⚽,
77', Kamogawa M. ↓, Suomela R. ↑,
88', Koota V. ↓, Heikkila S. ↑,
Preview
HJK has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Gnistan has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Gnistan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, HJK enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, HJK has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:1 (averaging 3:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HJK against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals.