The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Åland United 47.9%
Draw 23.8%
HPS 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
24.7%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
23.2%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Åland United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Åland United's performance.
HPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HPS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Åland United than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPS than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sundelius C. (G) 8. Hagstrom M. (C) 44. Hillberg S. 21. Hordijk C. 6. Jaatinen S. 5. Nurmi A. 19. Pitko N. 2. Ratts A. 16. Takanen M. 15. Veber V. 10. Vetter J.
41. Helminen L. (G) 7. Kahre O. 8. Kinnunen A. 24. Nurminen M. 15. Oksanen V. 11. Paakkari E. 14. Perttula T. 77. Punsar M. 16. Simonen A. (C) 17. Sinivuori F. 19. Stark T.
Substitutes
3. Degerstedt E. 18. Hansell E. 1. Niiranen L. (G) 22. Nordberg O. 17. Nyvall C. 14. Torronen A.
20. Jaaskelainen O. 12. Kamppi P. 2. Kataja M. 13. Kohtamaki A. 29. Lamberg A. 18. Leskinen B. 21. Puolakka L. 5. Reis O. 4. Welling E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Pitko N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Punsar M. 🟨,
62', Punsar M. ↓, Puolakka L. ↑,
63', Sinivuori F. ↓, Jaaskelainen O. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Jaatinen S. ⚽,
66', Perttula T. ↓, Reis O. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Kahre O. ⚽,
74', Veber V. ↓, Torronen A. ↑,
76', Nurminen M. 🟨,
78', Nurminen M. ↓, Kohtamaki A. ↑,
82', Hillberg S. 🟨,
83', Kahre O. ↓, Lamberg A. ↑,
87', Takanen M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Åland United won 1.
Åland United is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
HPS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Åland United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Åland United won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:26. (average 2.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Åland United won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.7:1.3).
Finland
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Sundelius C. (G) 
Hagstrom M. (C) 
Hordijk C. 
Vetter J. 
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