Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women - Championship Group

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: JYA Housing Areena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	HPS		KuPS

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.40	2.15
	3.1	3.6	1.95
	2.79	3.84	2.03
	2.75	3.80	2.01
	3.05	3.65	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.07)	3.66 ↑ (3.55)	2.03 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HPS
31.2%

Draw
24.5%

KuPS
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

25.5%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

23.4%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

KuPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPS than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS than the current prediction. (-3%)

HPS - KuPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Helminen L. (G) 20. Jaaskelainen O. 12. Kamppi P. 8. Kinnunen A. 15. Oksanen V. 11. Paakkari E. 14. Perttula T. 77. Punsar M. 9. Rinkinen H. 16. Simonen A. (C) 17. Sinivuori F.	22. Arpiainen E. (G) 14. Hahl N. 23. Juusela N. 4. Laaksonen S. 2. Leiwo S. 24. Makipelkola E. 6. Paavilainen L. 27. Perkaus H. 7. Rochi G. (C) 30. Spenazzatto L. 16. Viinikka T.
Substitutes
7. Kahre O. 2. Kataja M. 29. Lamberg A. 13. Leskinen B. 24. Nurminen M. 21. Puolakka L. 5. Reis O. 25. Stark T. 26. Talka M.	3. Beal R. M. 20. Harmaala A. 12. Hautamaki N. (G) 13. Kauppila A.-M. 5. Kouva S. 25. Partanen A. 11. Pulkkanen A. 18. Ukkonen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Rinkinen H. ↓, Kahre O. ↑,
32', Laaksonen S. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Rochi G. ⚽, Leiwo S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Punsar M. ↓, Stark T. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Sinivuori F. ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Perttula T. ⚽, Simonen A. (A),
67', Juusela N. ↓, Kauppila A.-M. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Makipelkola E. ⚽,
72', Spenazzatto L. 🟨,
74', Jaaskelainen O. ↓, Puolakka L. ↑,
76', Spenazzatto L. ↓, Harmaala A. ↑,
79', Sinivuori F. ↓, Kataja M. ↑,
79', Perttula T. ↓, Lamberg A. ↑,
79', Makipelkola E. 🟨,
81', 3 - 2, Paakkari E. ⚽, Stark T. (A),
82', Rochi G. 🟨,
87', Perkaus H. ↓, Beal R. M. ↑,
90+4', Helminen L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPS won 2.

In recent matches, HPS has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

KuPS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

KuPS could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, HPS won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:51. (average 0.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, HPS won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 1.3:2.6).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	KuPS W	22	13	3	6	43:29	14	42
4	HPS W	22	12	5	5	34:25	9	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingin Palloseura Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
25.07.26	HPS - Ilves	1:2 ✺
19.07.26	HJK - HPS	4:0 ✺
12.07.26	HPS - VIFK	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup Women
08.07.26	Esbo Bollklubb - HPS	0:4 ✺
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
04.07.26	PK-35 Vantaa - HPS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTWW
- KuPS Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
25.07.26	Gnistan - KuPS	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	KuPS - Åland United	1:3 ✺
12.07.26	KuPS - Ilves	2:4 ✺
Finnish Cup Women
08.07.26	KuPS - HJK	0:1 ✺
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
04.07.26	HJK - KuPS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
29.05.26	HPS - KuPS	3:2
28.03.26	KuPS - HPS	0:0
03.10.25	HPS - KuPS	2:1
06.09.25	KuPS - HPS	5:1
09.08.25	HPS - KuPS	2:3
14.06.25	KuPS - HPS	2:2
18.10.24	HPS - KuPS	0:2

HPS - KuPS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide