Match Info

Date: 5 June 2021, Saturday


	Örgryte		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3	3.1	2.2
	3	3.2	2.32	Watch
	3	3.1	2.32
	3.22	3.28	2.39
	3	3	2.4	Watch
	3.13	3.35	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.7)	3.16 ↓ (3.18)	2.34 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
30.6%

Draw
29.5%

Värnamo
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

29.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

21.6%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Örgryte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Värnamo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	23.1%	46.2%

Örgryte - Värnamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Örgryte will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Värnamo will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Värnamo: 27% – 65.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

Recent matches Örgryte is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Värnamo is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Örgryte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Örgryte won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Örgryte won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
29.05.21	Landskrona - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
22.05.21	Örgryte - Sundsvall	0:2 ✺
15.05.21	Akropolis - Örgryte	0:1 ✺
08.05.21	Falkenberg - Örgryte	3:2 ✺
01.05.21	Örgryte - Västerås SK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWLT
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
24.05.21	Värnamo - Akropolis	1:0 ✺
17.05.21	Västerås SK - Värnamo	0:0 ✺
10.05.21	Värnamo - GAIS	1:0 ✺
01.05.21	Falkenberg - Värnamo	0:3 ✺
24.04.21	Värnamo - Brage	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
20.08.18	Värnamo - Örgryte	2:1
23.05.18	Örgryte - Värnamo	4:0
04.11.17	Värnamo - Örgryte	2:1
25.05.17	Örgryte - Värnamo	2:0
12.09.16	Örgryte - Värnamo	2:2
07.06.16	Värnamo - Örgryte	4:2
Svenska Cupen
19.08.15	Örgryte - Värnamo	0:2 ET

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