Match Info

Superettan - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Alknas F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play


	Örgryte		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.35	3.5	2.6
	2.29	3.48	2.94	Watch
	2.38	3.48	3.06
	2.31	3.43	2.94	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.28	3.45	2.94	Watch
	2.29	3.48	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.14)	3.44 ↓ (3.65)	2.85 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
40.1%

Draw
27.2%

Varbergs BoIS
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Örgryte - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Örgryte will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Gustafsson H. (G) 5. Styffe C. 6. Dyrestam M. 17. Keita M. 15. Dahlqvist I. 7. Vindehall C. 8. Mujanic A. 19. Andreasson A. (C) 24. Svensson W. 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.	29. Andersson F. (G) 4. Dahlstrom N. 12. Tellgren E. 2. Broman G. (C) 24. Hellman E. 21. Vidjeskog I. 28. Sadiku E. 5. Winbo A. 14. Alfonsi O. 15. Jonasson Westermark J. 10. Shabani L.
Substitutes
28. Ahmed I. 3. Azulay J. 10. Barkroth N. 20. Karlsson M. 21. Kenndal W. 14. Paulson D. 12. Samuelsson L.	19. Appiah Nyarko K. 13. Edlund O. 1. Ekman O. (G) 11. Mohudin N. A. 23. Tokich M. 25. Wiklund A. 3. Zackrisson H.
Coaches
Holmberg A.	Hansen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Tellgren E. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Keita M. ⚽, Sana T. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Christoffersson N. ⚽, Dyrestam M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Jonasson Westermark J. ⚽,
62', 3 - 1, Sana T. ⚽,
64', Jonasson Westermark J. ↓, Appiah Nyarko K. ↑,
65', Vidjeskog I. ↓, Edlund O. ↑,
65', 4 - 1, Sana T. ⚽,
70', Vindehall C. ↓, Kenndal W. ↑,
70', Andreasson A. ↓, Paulson D. ↑,
72', Winbo A. ↓, Mohudin N. A. ↑,
72', Hellman E. ↓, Tokich M. ↑,
77', Sana T. ↓, Karlsson M. ↑,
77', Christoffersson N. ↓, Barkroth N. ↑,
81', Svensson W. ↓, Ahmed I. ↑,
82', Dahlstrom N. ↓, Zackrisson H. ↑,
85', Broman G. 🟨,
89', Kenndal W. 🟨,
90+2', 5 - 1, Barkroth N. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 2.

Recent performances by Örgryte have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Varberg is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Örgryte won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
12.05.25	Landskrona - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Örgryte - Falkenberg	4:2 ✺
26.04.25	Östersund - Örgryte	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Örgryte - Örebro	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Örgryte - Sundsvall	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLWT
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
11.05.25	Östersund - Varbergs BoIS	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Varbergs BoIS - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Trelleborg - Varbergs BoIS	0:4 ✺
21.04.25	Varbergs BoIS - Umeå	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Brage - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
28.09.24	Örgryte - Varbergs BoIS	3:3
11.05.24	Varbergs BoIS - Örgryte	1:3
Club Friendly
27.02.21	Varbergs BoIS - Örgryte	0:0
Swedish Superettan
28.07.19	Varbergs BoIS - Örgryte	1:2
15.05.19	Örgryte - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
30.10.18	Örgryte - Varbergs BoIS	5:2
03.04.18	Varbergs BoIS - Örgryte	0:2

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