Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

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	İstanbul Başakşehir		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3
	2.2	3.3	2.9
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.38	3.47	3.16
	2.23	3.52	3.01	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.9
	2.31	3.48	3.16
	2.25	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.65)	3.43 ↑ (3.35)	3.04 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
41.7%

Draw
27.4%

Heidenheim
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

26.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

25.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İstanbul Başakşehir's performance.

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İstanbul Başakşehir that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.8%	17.4%	34.8%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 27.4% – 68.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sengezer M. (G) 5. Duarte L. (C) 15. Gureler H. 3. Opoku J. 6. Lima L. 8. Kemen O. 4. Ergun O. 13. Crespo M. 23. Turuc D. 9. Piatek K. 91. Davidson	22. Eicher V. (G) 2. Busch M. 33. Maloney L. 4. Siersleben T. 30. Theuerkauf N. (C) 39. Dorsch N. 20. Kerber L. 21. Beck A. 8. Scienza L. 10. Wanner P. 14. Breunig M.
Substitutes
1. Babacan V. (G) 98. Dilmen D. (G) 75. Kaplan E. 11. Keny P. P. 2. Ozdemir B. 14. Pelkas D.	40. Feller F. (G) 19. Fohrenbach J. 5. Gimber B. 17. Honsak M. 36. Janes L. 25. Negele C. 3. Schoppner J. 23. Traore O. H.
Coaches
Atan C.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Turuc D. ⚽, Piatek K. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Crespo M. ⚽, Kemen O. (A),
24', Ergun O. ↓, Ozdemir B. ↑,
30', Breunig M. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
30', Wanner P. ↓, Schoppner J. ↑,
45+1', Maloney L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 2 - 1, Honsak M. ⚽,
62', Scienza L. ↓, Negele C. ↑,
62', Maloney L. ↓, Fohrenbach J. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Piatek K. ⚽, Crespo M. (A),
72', Busch M. ↓, Traore O. H. ↑,
73', Piatek K. 🟨,
73', Schoppner J. 🟨,
74', Turuc D. ↓, Keny P. P. ↑,
86', Piatek K. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
86', Davidson ↓, Kaplan E. ↑,
90+2', Eicher V. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Başakşehir is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heidenheim has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Heidenheim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Başakşehir have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Başakşehir: Ba O. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Heidenheim: Janes L. (Shoulder Injury) Kaufmann M. (Ankle Injury) Niehues J. (Knee Injury) Pieringer M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Başakşehir: Beyaz O. (Injury) Gurler S. (Injury) Sahiner O. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
08.12.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Hatayspor	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Göztepe	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
23.11.24	Gaziantep - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTLT
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
07.12.24	Bayern Munich - Heidenheim	4:2 ✺
01.12.24	Heidenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Heidenheim - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
23.11.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim	5:2 ✺
10.11.24	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.16	Heidenheim - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1

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