Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Grandstand ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Brazil	14:45	Caze TV
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 1
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 9, New World TV
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 2
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 6
Guatemala	11:45	Azteca Guatemala
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	17:45	Stod 2 Sport 5
India	23:15	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	19:45	Sport 2
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254
Kazakhstan	23:45	Q Sport
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	11:45	FOX Sports 3
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 6
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Papua New Guinea	03:45	TVWan Sports
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 2
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 2
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport Grandstand
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1
Thailand	00:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+, JioTV app


	Heidenheim		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.33	1.5
	5	4.33	1.51
	5.5	4.5	1.52	Watch
	5.72	4.59	1.53
	5.52	4.63	1.5	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.36
	5.8	4.78	1.53
	5.5	4.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↑ (4.7)	4.55 ↑ (3.65)	1.5 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
16.6%

Draw
20.6%

Chelsea
62.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.5%

25.1%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

24.4%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelsea's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.7%	8.1%	89.2%

Heidenheim - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.18% – 99.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller K. (G) 23. Traore O. H. 6. Mainka P. (C) 4. Siersleben T. 30. Theuerkauf N. 39. Dorsch N. 33. Maloney L. 8. Scienza L. 10. Wanner P. 17. Honsak M. 29. Kaufmann M.	12. Jorgensen F. (G) 2. Disasi A. (C) 5. Badiashile B. 4. Adarabioyo T. 40. Veiga R. 19. Sancho J. 31. Casadei C. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 10. Mudryk M. 18. Nkunku C. 38. Guiu M.
Substitutes
21. Beck A. 14. Breunig M. 2. Busch M. 31. Conteh S. 22. Eicher V. (G) 40. Feller F. (G) 19. Fohrenbach J. 5. Gimber B. 36. Janes L. 20. Kerber L. 25. Negele C. 3. Schoppner J.	47. Bergstrom L. (G) 17. Chukwuemeka C. 6. Colwill L. 33. Dyer K. 32. George T. 14. Joao Felix 11. Madueke N. 76. Mheuka S. 51. Rak-Sakyi S. 1. Sanchez R. (G)
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Badiashile B. 🟨,
42', Traore O. H. 🟨,
45', Casadei C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Nkunku C. ⚽, Sancho J. (A),
57', Dorsch N. ↓, Schoppner J. ↑,
57', Honsak M. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
62', Guiu M. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
68', Traore O. H. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
68', Maloney L. ↓, Breunig M. ↑,
76', Nkunku C. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
78', Kaufmann M. ↓, Gimber B. ↑,
82', Jorgensen F. 🟨,
84', Veiga R. 🟨,
85', Schoppner J. 🟨,
86', 0 - 2, Mudryk M. ⚽, Sancho J. (A),
90+2', Sancho J. ↓, George T. ↑,
90+2', Dewsbury-Hall K. ↓, Rak-Sakyi S. ↑,
90+7', Casadei C. 🟨,

Preview

Heidenheim is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chelsea is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Heidenheim have a series of guest games.

In this match Chelsea is a favorite.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Busch M. (Groin Injury) Janes L. (Knee Injury) Niehues J. (Knee Injury) Pieringer M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Fofana W. (Inactive) James R. (Thigh Injury) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury) Lavia R. (Inactive) Palmer C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Keller T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Gusto M. (Illness) Neto P. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
23.11.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim	5:2 ✺
10.11.24	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Hearts - Heidenheim	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
02.11.24	Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Hertha Berlin - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- Chelsea
English Premier League
23.11.24	Leicester City - Chelsea	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Chelsea - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Chelsea - Noah Yerevan	8:0 ✺
English Premier League
03.11.24	Manchester United - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
30.10.24	Newcastle United - Chelsea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWTL

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