The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bayer Leverkusen 67.4%
Draw 19.3%
Heidenheim 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.6%
19.4%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71%
18.5%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.7%
5.7%
5.7%
Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1.5 - Bayer (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - draw (2.86) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bayer Leverkusen will win
(47 of 53 users predict this - 88.68%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.15% – 97.21%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 15 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Flekken M. (G) 5. Bade L. 8. Andrich R. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 13. Arthur 30. Maza I. 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. 7. Hofmann J. 19. Poku E. 14. Schick P.
41. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 4. Siersleben T. 19. Fohrenbach J. 23. Traore O. H. 3. Schoppner J. 16. Niehues J. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 17. Honsak M. 11. Zivzivadze B.
Substitutes
44. Belocian J. 17. Ben Seghir E. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 9. Echeverri C. 35. Kofane C. M. 4. Quansah J. 18. Sarco A. 11. Terrier M. 10. Tillman M.
21. Beck A. 30. Dorsch N. 5. Gimber B. 27. Keller T. 20. Kerber L. 28. Kolle A. 1. Muller K. (G) 18. Pieringer M. 9. Schimmer S.
Coaches
Hjulmand K.
Schmidt F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (5 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Schick P. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Hofmann J. ⚽, Tapsoba E. (A),
22', 3 - 0, Schick P. ⚽,
27', 4 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, Arthur (A),
33', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Gimber B. ↑,
33', Niehues J. ↓, Dorsch N. ↑,
36', Schoppner J. 🟨,
45+1', 5 - 0, Maza I. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Schoppner J. ↓, Kolle A. ↑,
46', Poku E. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
46', Arthur ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
53', 6 - 0, Maza I. ⚽, Tapsoba E. (A),
56', Schick P. ↓, Sarco A. ↑,
56', Tapsoba E. ↓, Belocian J. ↑,
67', Honsak M. ↓, Pieringer M. ↑,
75', Garcia A. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
83', Busch M. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
Recent performances by Bayer have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Heidenheim's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Heidenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bayer is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Bayer: Fernandez E.
(Knee Injury)
Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Palacios E.
(Groin Injury)
Tape A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tella N.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S.
(Knee Injury)
Feller F.
(Knee Injury)
Kaufmann M.
(Muscle Injury)
Paqarada L.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 4.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Bayer Leverkusen - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 67.59%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.