Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 19

Date: 9 December 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion ŁKS (Lodz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	ŁKS Łódź		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.1
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.35	3.4	2.19
	3.29	3.37	2.16	Watch
	3	3.3	2.1
	3.23	3.3	2.13
	3.2	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.91)	3.37 ↓ (3.38)	2.14 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łódź
29.1%

Draw
27.5%

Arka Gdynia
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

27.5%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

26.7%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

ŁKS Łódź - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bobek A. (G) 2. Gulen L. 5. Wiech L. 3. Tutyskinas A. 37. Glowacki P. 14. Mokrzycki M. 20. Wysokinski M. 10. Pirulo (C) 9. Arasa A. 27. Feiertag S. 15. Mlynarczyk A.	77. Weglarz D. (G) 2. Navarro M. 23. Hermoso K. 29. Marcjanik M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 9. Gaprindashvili T. 8. Sidibe A. 39. Kocaba F. 14. Vitalucci H. 27. Oliveira J. 10. Czubak K.
Substitutes
6. Alastuey J. 12. Bomba L. (G) 28. Falowski K. 23. Iwanczyk A. 30. Lipien M. 4. Mihaljevic I. 29. Rozwandowicz M. 24. Slawinski O. 19. Zajac J.	20. Borecki M. 4. Dobrotka M. 1. Lenarcik P. (G) 16. Ratajczyk A. 19. Rzuchowski M. 21. Skora K. 7. Sobczak S. 32. Stolc P. 28. Zielinski W.
Coaches
Dziolka J.	Grzegorczyk T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Glowacki P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sidibe A. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,
58', Mokrzycki M. ↓, Iwanczyk A. ↑,
68', Oliveira J. ↓, Ratajczyk A. ↑,
69', Vitalucci H. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
78', Iwanczyk A. 🟨,
82', 0 - 1, Marcjanik M. ⚽,
83', Gaprindashvili T. ↓, Skora K. ↑,
84', Mlynarczyk A. ↓, Zajac J. ↑,
85', Gojny D. 🟨,
87', Vitalucci H. 🟨,
88', Iwanczyk A. 🟥,
90+4', 0 - 2, Sobczak S. ⚽, Rzuchowski M. (A),
90+5', Czubak K. ↓, Borecki M. ↑,
90+5', Sobczak S. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ŁKS won 2.

ŁKS is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arka is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches ŁKS won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:16 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams ŁKS won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Cup
05.12.24	ŁKS Łódź - Legia Warsaw	0:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
30.11.24	Wisła Kraków - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Znicz Pruszków - ŁKS Łódź	2:2 ✺
08.11.24	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	ŁKS Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTTL
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
02.12.24	Arka Gdynia - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Arka Gdynia - Stal Stalowa Wola	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.11.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia	1:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
09.11.24	GKS Tychy - Arka Gdynia	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
29.07.24	Arka Gdynia - ŁKS Łódź	2:1
26.05.23	Arka Gdynia - ŁKS Łódź	1:1
30.10.22	ŁKS Łódź - Arka Gdynia	3:1
27.04.22	Arka Gdynia - ŁKS Łódź	2:0
17.10.21	ŁKS Łódź - Arka Gdynia	1:0
16.06.21	Arka Gdynia - ŁKS Łódź	0:1
16.04.21	ŁKS Łódź - Arka Gdynia	1:2

Upcoming Matches