Match Info

POLAND: Polish Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion ŁKS (Lodz)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport


	ŁKS Łódź		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	4.6	1.39
	7	4.75	1.4	Watch
	7.16	4.88	1.39
	6.89	4.67	1.42	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.33
	6.92	4.95	1.39	Watch
	7	4.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.75 ↑ (6.37)	4.76 ↑ (4.33)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łódź
13.7%

Draw
19.5%

Legia Warsaw
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

21%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

20.4%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

ŁKS Łódź - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bobek A. (G) 8. Dankowski K. 2. Gulen L. 5. Wiech L. 37. Glowacki P. 20. Wysokinski M. 21. Kupczak M. 10. Pirulo (C) 11. Sitek M. 9. Arasa A. 15. Mlynarczyk A.	27. Kobylak G. (G) 13. Wszolek P. 12. Pankov R. 42. Sergio Barcia 19. Vinagre R. 8. Augustyniak R. (C) 11. Chodyna K. 25. Morishita R. 53. Urbanski W. 82. Luquinhas 28. Gual M.
Substitutes
6. Alastuey J. 12. Bomba L. (G) 27. Feiertag S. 17. Ibe-Torti K. 23. Ksiazek M. 4. Mihaljevic I. 29. Rozwandowicz M. 24. Slawinski O. 19. Zajac J.	17. Alfarela M. 21. Celhaka J. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 67. Kapustka B. 23. Kun P. 31. Mendes-Dudzinski M. (G) 7. Pekhart T. 71. Szczepaniak M. 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Dziolka J.	Feio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', Pirulo 🟨,
49', 0 - 1, Gual M. ⚽,
51', Urbanski W. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Gual M. ⚽,
59', Arasa A. ↓, Feiertag S. ↑,
62', 0 - 3, Gual M. ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),
70', Vinagre R. ↓, Kun P. ↑,
70', Chodyna K. ↓, Szczepaniak M. ↑,
70', Urbanski W. ↓, Celhaka J. ↑,
73', Pirulo ↓, Ksiazek M. ↑,
73', Mlynarczyk A. ↓, Zajac J. ↑,
75', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
76', Gual M. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
85', Sitek M. ↓, Ibe-Torti K. ↑,
85', Luquinhas ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
90+5', Celhaka J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches ŁKS won 0.

Recent matches ŁKS is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Legia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Legia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Legia is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches ŁKS won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:15 (average 1:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams ŁKS won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
30.11.24	Wisła Kraków - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Znicz Pruszków - ŁKS Łódź	2:2 ✺
08.11.24	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	ŁKS Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
30.10.24	Kluczbork - ŁKS Łódź	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLW
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.12.24	Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Omonia - Legia Warsaw	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.11.24	Legia Warsaw - Cracovia	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw	5:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Legia Warsaw - Dinamo Minsk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
10.12.23	ŁKS Łódź - Legia Warsaw	1:1
21.07.23	Legia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź	3:0
Polish Cup
09.02.21	ŁKS Łódź - Legia Warsaw	2:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.02.20	Legia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź	3:1
25.08.19	ŁKS Łódź - Legia Warsaw	2:3
03.03.12	Legia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź	2:0

Upcoming Matches