Match Info

I Liqa - Round 15

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	Şəfa		Mingachevir

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.35	3.2
	2.02	3.5	3.06
	1.13	8.43	11.17	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.2
	1.96	3.61	3.41
	2	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.65)	4.23 ↑ (3.65)	4.52 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Şəfa
54.3%

Draw
23.6%

Mingachevir
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.9%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Şəfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Şəfa - Mingachevir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Aliyev N. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Zamanov E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', 2 - 1, Cabrayilov C. ⚽,
83', Hasanov V. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Farmanov T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4).

In this match, Şəfa is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Şəfa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Mingachevir	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Şəfa FK
Azerbaijan First Division
12.02.26	Səbail - Şəfa	0:0 ✺
05.02.26	Şəfa - Baku Sporting	1:1 ✺
25.12.25	MOIK Baku - Şəfa	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Cəbrayıl - Şəfa	0:1 ✺
11.12.25	Şəfa - Zagatala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTWWT
- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
13.02.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Shimal - Mingachevir	0:3 ✺
24.12.25	Mingachevir - Shahdag Qusar	1:1 ✺
18.12.25	Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir	1:1 ✺
10.12.25	Mingachevir - Cəbrayıl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
05.11.25	Mingachevir - Şəfa	2:3

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