Match Info

I Lyga - Round 23

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Žalgiris Vilnius 2		Neptūnas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.10	3.50	1.95
	3.05	3.55	1.97
	3.12	3.45	2.01
	3.2	3.72	1.95	Watch
	3.05	3.35	1.99
	3.23	3.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3.07)	3.55 ↓ (3.58)	1.98 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
28.9%

Draw
25.4%

Neptūnas
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

25.4%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.1%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Setkus M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 0.

Žalgiris 2 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Neptūnas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Neptūnas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Neptunas	25	14	2	9	33:30	3	44
6	Zalgiris 2	25	13	4	8	38:32	6	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
28.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Transinvest 2	4:3 ✺
14.08.26	FA Šiauliai B - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:4 ✺
10.08.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Ekranas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWT
- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
29.08.26	Neptūnas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:4 ✺
08.08.26	Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
02.05.26	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:1
03.08.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Neptūnas	3:3
29.03.25	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0
16.09.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Neptūnas	1:4
21.04.23	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0
10.07.22	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:2
19.03.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Neptūnas	0:1

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