Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 8

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo Conde de Sucena (Sintra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	1 Dezembro		Fafe

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.15
	3.4	3.15	2.04
	3.57	3.18	2.13	Watch
	3.47	3.08	2.06
	3.4	3.15	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.28)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	2.08 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

1 Dezembro
27%

Draw
29.3%

Fafe
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.4%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

28%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-3%)

1 Dezembro - Fafe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oliveira G. (G) 13. Bernardo J. 79. Cardoso D. 2. Cesinha 26. Freitas J. 17. Harramiz S. 99. Pedro Clemente 6. Santos T. 20. Silva R. 33. Simoes T. 19. Valente A.	98. Alves C. (G) 26. Batista J. 8. Braga V. 35. Cardoso F. 7. Leite T. 21. Pereira M. 11. Picas 60. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 10. Serra Matos P. M. 4. Teixeira L. 13. Vigario J.
Substitutes
30. Aguas G. 25. Bonito D. 9. Dener 12. Duarte F. (G) 23. Lisandro Menezes 32. Ramos P. 24. Roldan F. 5. Sousa A. 77. Teixeira T.	20. Amorim J. 22. Bruninho 1. Enes Guimaraes F. (G) 12. Farias E. 9. Kodama R. 6. Lucas Vital 5. Nandinho 3. Silva G. 2. Sousa B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Harramiz S. ↓, Aguas G. ↑,
38', Batista J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Pedro Clemente ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Bernardo J. 🟨,
57', Serra Matos P. M. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
71', Cardoso F. ↓, Amorim J. ↑,
71', Picas ↓, Farias E. ↑,
71', Ribeiro Oliveira J. ↓, Kodama R. ↑,
76', Braga V. 🟨,
78', Silva R. ↓, Lisandro Menezes ↑,
78', Cardoso D. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
81', Valente A. 🟥,
83', Braga V. ↓, Lucas Vital ↑,
85', Pedro Clemente ↓, Ramos P. ↑,
85', Aguas G. ↓, Bonito D. ↑,
90+4', Farias E. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Fafe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches 1 Dezembro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU 1 Dezembro
Portuguese Liga 3
30.03.25	1 Dezembro - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Varzim - 1 Dezembro	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	1 Dezembro - Lusitânia	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Sporting Lisbon B - 1 Dezembro	3:0 ✺
23.02.25	1 Dezembro - Amarante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW
- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
29.03.25	Fafe - Varzim	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Fafe	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Fafe - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Atlético CP - Fafe	4:0 ✺
22.02.25	Fafe - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
09.02.25	Fafe - 1 Dezembro	3:1

1 Dezembro - Fafe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide