Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Varzim SC (Póvoa de Varzim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Varzim		1 Dezembro

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.1
	1.85	3	4.4
	2.02	2.99	4.22
	1.87	3.12	4.75	Watch
	1.8	3	4.75
	1.85	3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.89)	3.02 ↓ (3.13)	4.44 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
49%

Draw
30.4%

1 Dezembro
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

29.3%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

28.7%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Varzim - 1 Dezembro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Momo Mbaye (G) 3. Nuno P. 4. Henriques L. 19. Lopes A. 55. Ze Oliveira (C) 80. Gomes A. 22. Araujo C. 8. Oliveira R. 85. Rebelo M. 9. Silva Nhaga I. 13. Freitas R.	1. Oliveira G. (G) 32. Ramos P. 26. Freitas J. 2. Cesinha 13. Bernardo J. 5. Sousa A. 20. Silva R. 19. Valente A. 11. Batalha R. 17. Harramiz S. 99. Pedro Clemente

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Freitas J. 🟨,
33', Silva Nhaga I. ↓, Moshood M. ↑,
42', Henriques L. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Moshood M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Oliveira R. ↓, Pedrosa R. ↑,
48', Batalha R. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Moshood M. ⚽,
60', Sousa A. ↓, Dener ↑,
64', Lopes A. ↓, Chicao ↑,
70', Gomes A. ↓, Ribeiro R. M. ↑,
70', Freitas R. ↓, Pimenta G. ↑,
80', Ramos P. ↓, Lisandro Menezes ↑,
80', Silva R. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
80', Harramiz S. ↓, Teixeira T. ↑,
84', Araujo C. 🟨,
87', Chicao 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Varzim is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
09.03.25	Varzim - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Belenenses - Varzim	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Varzim - Atlético CP	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Lusitânia - Varzim	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Varzim - Amarante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTWLL
- SU 1 Dezembro
Portuguese Liga 3
08.03.25	1 Dezembro - Lusitânia	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Sporting Lisbon B - 1 Dezembro	3:0 ✺
23.02.25	1 Dezembro - Amarante	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	1 Dezembro - Belenenses	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Fafe - 1 Dezembro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWL

Varzim - 1 Dezembro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide