Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Conde de Sucena (Sintra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	1 Dezembro		Amarante

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.52	2.93	3.42
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.57)	2.92 ↑ (2.83)	3.16 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1 Dezembro
38.6%

Draw
31.9%

Amarante
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

32.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

32.4%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1 Dezembro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

1 Dezembro - Amarante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oliveira G. (G) 13. Bernardo J. (C) 2. Cesinha 26. Freitas J. 33. Simoes T. 20. Silva R. 19. Valente A. 21. Isaac 6. Santos T. 11. Batalha R. 99. Pedro Clemente	65. Figueiredo D. (G) 10. Semedo K. 4. Filipe J. 64. Vila D. (C) 99. Bright 88. Aguiar E. 5. Guedes R. 18. Okoli F. 7. Sousa C. 11. Buby 12. Zangre A.
Substitutes
30. Aguas G. 10. Araujo J. 79. Cardoso D. 9. Dener 12. Duarte F. (G) 17. Harramiz S. 23. Lisandro Menezes 24. Roldan F. 5. Sousa A.	9. Cardoso F. 6. Daniel Alves 80. Dinho 17. Filipe R. 13. Flores R. (G) 8. Helder Pedro 42. Iroanya E. 25. Mica 70. Zakari B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Zangre A. ⚽, Semedo K. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Simoes T. ⚽,
24', Bright 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bright ↓, Mica ↑,
49', Zangre A. 🟨,
65', Guedes R. ↓, Helder Pedro ↑,
65', Sousa C. ↓, Dinho ↑,
74', Batalha R. ↓, Harramiz S. ↑,
78', Zangre A. ↓, Zakari B. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Bernardo J. (Pen),
83', Valente A. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
85', Santos T. 🟨,
90', Santos T. ↓, Lisandro Menezes ↑,
90', Silva R. ↓, Aguas G. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Amarante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

1 Dezembro will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU 1 Dezembro
Portuguese Liga 3
15.02.25	1 Dezembro - Belenenses	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Fafe - 1 Dezembro	3:1 ✺
25.01.25	1 Dezembro - Caldas	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Académica Coimbra - 1 Dezembro	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	1 Dezembro - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLTWT
- Amarante FC
Portuguese Liga 3
16.02.25	Amarante - Fafe	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	Varzim - Amarante	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Vilaverdense - Amarante	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Amarante - Fafe	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Amarante - Braga B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWTT

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