Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 12

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Tábua (Tábua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	1 Dezembro		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.35	3.95
	1.84	3.53	4.4
	1.82	3.5	4.37	Watch
	1.8	3.36	4.07
	1.83	3.35	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.9)	3.42 ↑ (3.39)	4.15 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1 Dezembro
50.7%

Draw
27%

SC Lusitânia
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

26.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1 Dezembro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for SC Lusitânia aligns with the current prediction.

1 Dezembro - SC Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oliveira G. (G) 17. Barros E. 11. Batalha R. 25. Bonito D. 2. Cesinha 26. Freitas J. 8. Jesus P. 20. Paulo D. 99. Pedro Clemente 33. Simoes T. 19. Valente A.	1. Monteiro J. (G) 8. Azevedo T. 15. Breno T. 48. Cabral G. 51. Derick 53. do Rio P. 3. Fontes B. 17. Isabelinha 27. Legatheaux A. 70. Mosquera D. 10. Rafa Tche
Substitutes
30. Aguas G. 13. Bernardo J. 72. Cardoso D. 12. Duarte F. (G) 21. Isaac 23. Lisandro Menezes 70. Rosario T. 6. Santos T. 77. Teixeira T.	14. Amaral A. 42. Biai B. 24. Edu 50. Jefinho 20. Rafinha 72. Sa D. (G) 77. Sidney C. 5. Silva C. 9. Souza N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Batalha R. ⚽,
21', Rafa Tche 🟨,
38', Valente A. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Batalha R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', do Rio P. ↓, Biai B. ↑,
46', Mosquera D. ↓, Souza N. ↑,
46', Rafa Tche ↓, Sidney C. ↑,
46', Legatheaux A. ↓, Amaral A. ↑,
63', Valente A. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
63', Batalha R. ↓, Lisandro Menezes ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Pedro Clemente ⚽,
68', Derick 🟨,
69', Breno T. ↓, Edu ↑,
75', Jesus P. ↓, Isaac ↑,
75', Barros E. ↓, Aguas G. ↑,
78', Bonito D. ↓, Teixeira T. ↑,
88', Sidney C. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches 1 Dezembro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SC Lusitânia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

SC Lusitânia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match 1 Dezembro is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches 1 Dezembro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams 1 Dezembro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU 1 Dezembro
Portuguese Liga 3
16.11.24	SC Lusitânia - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Belenenses - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	1 Dezembro - Atlético CP	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Caldas - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	1 Dezembro - Braga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTWTL
- SC Lusitânia
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	SC Lusitânia - São João de Ver	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.11.24	SC Lusitânia - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	SC Lusitânia - Caldas	1:4 ✺
04.11.24	Académica Coimbra - SC Lusitânia	5:1 ✺
28.10.24	Sporting Lisbon B - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.11.24	SC Lusitânia - 1 Dezembro	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.03.18	1 Dezembro - SC Lusitânia	2:0

1 Dezembro - SC Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide