Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Round 15

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday


	9 de Julio		Defensores de Pronunciamiento

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.1	7.25
	1.42	4.2	6.5
	1.33	3.96	7.17
	1.34	3.96	7.17
	1.35	4.3	8.1
	1.3	4.1	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.66)	4.1 ↑ (3.33)	7.7 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Julio
66.5%

Draw
21.9%

Defensores de Pronunciamiento
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

27.1%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

25.6%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Julio's performance.

Defensores de Pronunciamiento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Pronunciamiento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Julio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Pronunciamiento than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Pronunciamiento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

9 de Julio - Defensores de Pronunciamiento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, Lopez A. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, Nunez F. A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.06.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	9 de Julio - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:2 ✺
26.05.24	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
19.05.24	9 de Julio - Douglas Haig	4:0 ✺
15.05.24	9 de Julio - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTWT
- Defensores de Pronunciamiento
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.06.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:1 ✺
09.06.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	3:0 ✺
02.06.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Belgrano	0:3 ✺
26.05.24	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	3:0 ✺
19.05.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.04.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - 9 de Julio	3:1

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