Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Round 12

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday


	Defensores de Pronunciamiento		Sportivo Belgrano

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.8	2.25
	3.4	2.95	2.15
	3.05	2.79	2.15
	3.21	2.85	2.23
	3.25	2.8	2.25
	3.29	2.86	2.26
	3.2	2.9	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.78)	2.85 ↑ (2.78)	2.21 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Pronunciamiento
27.9%

Draw
31.5%

Sportivo Belgrano
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Pronunciamiento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Pronunciamiento than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-5%)

Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Flores B. (Pen),
30', 0 - 2, Turina S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 3, Flores L. ⚽,
86', 🟥,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Pronunciamiento
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.05.24	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	3:0 ✺
19.05.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
15.05.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	El Linqueño - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	4:0 ✺
28.04.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - 9 de Julio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTLW
- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.05.24	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
19.05.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
15.05.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0 ✺
06.05.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.04.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:0
03.09.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0
02.07.23	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	0:1
13.05.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0
12.03.23	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	3:0
09.10.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Belgrano	0:2
27.06.22	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	5:1

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