The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
9 de Julio 64.1%
Draw 23%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay 12.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51%
28.2%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
26.8%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Julio's performance.
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Julio that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cuevas L. (G) 3. Acuna S. 2. Androetto T. 7. Larrea L. 11. Luduena C. 8. Ramirez P. 4. Rouiller T. 5. Salcedo A. 9. Solari M. 10. Troncoso L. 6. Vanega A.
1. Rebora E. (G) 5. Altamirano L. 11. Bogado M. 4. Casares J. 8. Favre A. 10. Germanier N. 6. Laumann F. 3. Olague R. 2. Palladino T. 7. Rodriguez J. 9. Vila L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 🟨,
49', 🟥,
74', 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-4.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 9 de Julio won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
9 de Julio is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, 9 de Julio has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:11 (averaging 1.7:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for 9 de Julio against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:2 goals (averaging 3:0.7 per game).
Watch
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Cuevas L. (G) 
Altamirano L. 
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