Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 26

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil)


	9 de Octubre		América de Quito

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	4.75
	1.55	3.9	4.6
	1.6	3.86	5.3
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.48	4.2	5.8
	1.58	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.02)	3.81 ↑ (3.2)	5.08 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
58.1%

Draw
23.9%

América de Quito
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27.9%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Octubre's performance.

América de Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América de Quito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Octubre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América de Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

9 de Octubre - América de Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 de Octubre will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches 9 de Octubre is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América de Quito is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match 9 de Octubre is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches 9 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams 9 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.08.23	Imbabura - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
11.08.23	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
01.08.23	Vinotinto - 9 de Octubre	4:0 ✺
26.07.23	9 de Octubre - Vargas Torres	3:0 ✺
19.07.23	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLWW
- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.08.23	América de Quito - Independiente Juniors	0:1 ✺
10.08.23	América de Quito - Búhos ULVR	2:2 ✺
01.08.23	Manta - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	América de Quito - Imbabura	1:2 ✺
20.07.23	Vinotinto - América de Quito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
31.05.23	América de Quito - 9 de Octubre	1:0
04.04.23	9 de Octubre - América de Quito	3:1
03.09.20	América de Quito - 9 de Octubre	0:0

9 de Octubre - América de Quito: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide