Match Info
Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 3Date: 12 September 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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9 de Octubre |
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Independiente Juniors |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.90 |
2.80 |
4.10 |
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 |
1.98 |
2.75 |
4.00 |
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 |
1.91 |
3.01 |
4.91 |
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1.93 |
3.07 |
4.44 |
Watch |
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1.88 |
3.24 |
4.38 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.08) |
2.97 ↑
(2.7) |
4.37 ↑
(3.75) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
9 de Octubre
48% | Draw
31% | Independiente Juniors
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.4%)9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 56', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 1.9 de Octubre has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).Independiente Jr is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Recently, 9 de Octubre has had a series of away games. 9 de Octubre might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.4:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, 9 de Octubre won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 2.5:0.9).
Standings
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Ind. Juniors | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35:23 | 12 | 47 |
| 4 | Nueve de Octubre | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 31:20 | 11 | 45 |
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Last Results with these Odds
9 de Octubre - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.01%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ecuadorian Serie B | | | 15.08.26 | 9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors | 2:2 | | 25.05.26 | Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre | 0:0 | | 07.10.25 | 9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors | 2:1 | | 09.09.25 | Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre | 2:1 | | 17.07.25 | Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre | 1:0 | | 07.05.25 | 9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors | 0:0 | | 19.09.24 | 9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors | 2:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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