The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
9 de Octubre 50.2%
Draw 29.4%
Vargas Torres 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
27.6%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
27.5%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Octubre's performance.
Vargas Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vargas Torres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Octubre that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vargas Torres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
9 de Octubre - Vargas Torres Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - 9 de Octubre (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. 9 de Octubre (votes: 1 - 100%).
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Mairongo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
9 de Octubre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, 9 de Octubre is considered a favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, 9 de Octubre won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).