Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 19

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Referee: Henrique M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	ABC		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2	3	3.75	Watch
	2.04	3.15	4.08
	1.96	3.12	3.91	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.5
	1.94	3.14	3.81	Watch
	2	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.81)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	3.74 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

ABC
46.1%

Draw
29.5%

Aparecidense
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.8%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

26.8%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ABC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ABC - Aparecidense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Paulo (G) 8. Adeilson Maranhao 4. Eduardo Thuram 2. Felipe Albuquerque 10. Gabriel Santiago 18. Jenison 23. Lima 6. Lucas Sampaio 17. Richardson 11. Wallyson 14. Wellington Reis	12. Matheus Alves (G) 8. Du Fernandes 7. Esquerdinha 19. Igor Torres 11. Klenisson 2. Luan Sales 22. Matheus Chaves 4. Mauricio 6. Rodrigues 9. Rubens 3. Vanderley
Substitutes
27. David Ribeiro 25. Emerson Galego 13. Freitas Barreto P. C. 9. Jackson 16. Manoel 20. Matheus 26. Matheus Rocha 12. Moises (G) 19. Pedro Felipe 7. Ruan 15. Walfrido 3. Wesley	18. Alan James 14. Cauari 13. Da Silva 16. Enzo 20. Falcao 5. Guilherme Nunes 15. Henrique Vermudt 21. Maikon Aquino 17. Marcelinho 1. Pedro Henrique (G) 10. Robert
Coaches
Roberto Fonseca	Emerson Avila

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Esquerdinha ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Richardson ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Wallyson (Pen),
42', Lima ↓, Matheus ↑,
45+5', 3 - 1, Adeilson Maranhao ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Klenisson ↓, Robert ↑,
56', Esquerdinha ↓, Guilherme Nunes ↑,
67', Igor Torres ↓, Alan James ↑,
69', Jenison ↓, Jackson ↑,
75', Wellington Reis ↓, Walfrido ↑,
75', Gabriel Santiago ↓, Ruan ↑,
75', Wallyson ↓, Matheus Rocha ↑,
82', Luan Sales ↓, Falcao ↑,
82', Matheus Chaves ↓, Enzo ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Aparecidense have a series of home games.

ABC will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches ABC won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
18.08.24	Caxias - ABC	2:0 ✺
12.08.24	Sampaio Corrêa - ABC	2:2 ✺
03.08.24	ABC - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	ABC - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Botafogo PB - ABC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTTL
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
18.08.24	Aparecidense - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	Aparecidense - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
05.08.24	Remo - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
29.07.24	Aparecidense - Floresta	1:1 ✺
24.07.24	Aparecidense - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
04.07.22	Aparecidense - ABC	2:2
Brazilian Serie D
31.10.21	ABC - Aparecidense	1:0
24.10.21	Aparecidense - ABC	4:2

ABC - Aparecidense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide