Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	ABC		Caxias

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	2.55	3.5
	2.19	2.55	3.55
	2.21	2.56	3.72
	2.2	2.87	3.25
	2.09	2.98	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.96)	2.7 ↓ (3.08)	3.53 (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
41.1%

Draw
33.4%

Caxias
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

29%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

20.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ABC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

ABC is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caxias in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Caxias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

ABC will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches ABC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie D
10.10.21	Caxias - ABC	0:0 ✺
03.10.21	ABC - 4 de Julho	2:0 ✺
26.09.21	4 de Julho - ABC	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	ABC - Retrô Brasil	3:2 ✺
12.09.21	Retrô Brasil - ABC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTWT
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie D
10.10.21	Caxias - ABC	0:0 ✺
02.10.21	União Rondonópolis - Caxias	0:2 ✺
25.09.21	Caxias - União Rondonópolis	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Portuguesa - Caxias	1:1 penalties ✺
12.09.21	Caxias - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.10.21	Caxias - ABC	0:0

ABC - Caxias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide