Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 13

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	ABC		Maringá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.08	3.05	3.3	Watch
	2.16	3.15	3.48
	2.43	3.02	3.01	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.1	3.02	3.42	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.17)	3 ↓ (3.12)	3.3 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
42.1%

Draw
30.3%

Maringá
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ABC - Maringá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pedro Paulo (G) 17. Bruno Leite 5. Ezequiel 23. Islan 15. Joaozinho 25. Juninho 6. Lucas Sampaio 4. Octavio 13. Renato Vischi 11. Wallyson 19. Ytalo	1. Tony Batista (G) 2. Cristovam 5. Evanderson 40. Everton Morelli 19. Julio Rodrigues 99. Maranhao 23. Max Miller 33. Rhuan 3. Ronald Carvalho (C) 13. Tito 18. Ze Vitor
Substitutes
8. Carlos Eduardo 1. Felipe Garcia (G) 9. Jenison 20. Jonatha Carlos 2. Lucas Mota 16. Manoel 7. Matheus Martins 26. Matheus Rocha 18. Orlando Junior 10. Oziel 21. Randerson 3. Rodolfo Filemon	14. Buga 30. Danielzinho 27. Ibson 4. Jhow Alecxander 6. Joao Felix 37. Masukake Y. 16. Matheus Melo 25. Neto (G) 29. Rai Natalino 11. Robertinho 36. Vinicius Amaral
Coaches
Rodrigo Santana	Jorge Castilho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Octavio ⚽,
27', Renato Vischi 🟨,
34', Ezequiel 🟨,
36', Ezequiel ↓, Lucas Mota ↑,
37', Rhuan 🟥,
40', Julio Rodrigues ↓, Vinicius Amaral ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Joaozinho ↓, Rodolfo Filemon ↑,
46', Renato Vischi ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
46', Cristovam ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Juninho ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Ronald Carvalho ⚽,
66', Evanderson ↓, Robertinho ↑,
68', Ytalo ↓, Jenison ↑,
70', Robertinho 🟨,
70', 🟨,
73', 3 - 1, Matheus Martins ⚽,
75', Danielzinho 🟨,
76', Tito ↓, Matheus Melo ↑,
80', Wallyson ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Danielzinho ⚽,
90+3', Pedro Paulo 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 3, Maranhao ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 13).

ABC has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maringá is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

ABC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
12.07.25	Tombense - ABC	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Confiança - ABC	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	ABC - Ypiranga	0:3 ✺
14.06.25	Ponte Preta - ABC	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	ABC - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTLTT
- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
14.07.25	Maringá - Brusque	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Ypiranga - Maringá	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Maringá - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
16.06.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Maringá	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Maringá - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLT

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